Language:English
Bahia v Atletico Paranaense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bahia (Local)
Prediction 52.68%1.90fair odd
EV -0.966%
Edge -0.514%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.18%52.67%52.65%54.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.771.781.8859.52%56.34%56.18%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atletico Paranaense (Visit)
Prediction 20.80%4.81fair odd
EV +1.49%
Edge +0.306%
Kelly +0.384%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 4.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.19%20.80%20.76%22.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.454.474.8825.00%22.46%22.35%20.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.53%3.77fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.357%
Kelly -0.488%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%26.53%26.60%29.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.483.503.7234.72%28.74%28.57%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bahia (Local): 52.68%; Atletico Paranaense (Visit): 20.80%; Draw: 26.53%. For Atletico Paranaense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.81. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.90%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.88%EV +1.49%E +0.306%K +0.384%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -1.86%E -0.502%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.05%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.95%EV +0.867%E +0.179%K +0.225%G +0.002% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.01%EV -1.33%E -0.357%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -10.98%E -6.49%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -0.173%E -0.036%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 22:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -10.45%E -6.15%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -2.25%E -0.479%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.34%E -4.79%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -3.29%E -0.708%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -4.33%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -3.18%E -0.872%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 22:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.15%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -4.33%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.69%EV -4.65%E -2.57%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.82%EV -4.75%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -0.966%E -0.514%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -0.966%E -0.514%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35%EV -2.55%E -1.38%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.84%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 22:47 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -10.45%E -6.15%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.45%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -5.84%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.05%EV -4.65%E -2.57%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.84%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV -9.53%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -9.53%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 22:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -10.45%E -6.15%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -9.95%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.68%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -10.57%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -10.57%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-01 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-01 22:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-01 22:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.71%EV -8.34%E -4.79%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -11.14%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.71%EV -8.34%E -4.79%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -11.14%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.00%EV -9.39%E -5.46%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -11.14%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 22:52 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.15%EV -9.92%E -5.80%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -11.14%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -2.55%E -1.38%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -13.69%E -3.30%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.76%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -14.73%E -3.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -11.50%E -6.85%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -16.81%E -4.20%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -16.81%E -4.20%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -23.61%E -8.20%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-04-01 22:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.09% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 1.6% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |