L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Bahia v Atletico Paranaense
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Bahia (Local)
Prévision 52.68%1.90cote équitable
EV -0.966%
Avantage -0.514%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.88
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.18%52.67%52.65%54.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.771.781.8859.52%56.34%56.18%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Atletico Paranaense (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.80%4.81cote équitable
EV +1.49%
Avantage +0.306%
Kelly +0.384%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 4.88
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.19%20.80%20.76%22.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.454.474.8825.00%22.46%22.35%20.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.53%3.77cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -0.357%
Kelly -0.488%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.72
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.81%26.53%26.60%29.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.483.503.7234.72%28.74%28.57%26.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.90%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.88%EV +1.49%E +0.306%K +0.384%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -1.86%E -0.502%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.05%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.95%EV +0.867%E +0.179%K +0.225%G +0.002% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.01%EV -1.33%E -0.357%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -10.98%E -6.49%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -0.173%E -0.036%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 22:53 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Everygame | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -10.45%E -6.15%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -2.25%E -0.479%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.34%E -4.79%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -3.29%E -0.708%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -4.33%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -3.18%E -0.872%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 22:53 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.15%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -4.33%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| GTbets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.69%EV -4.65%E -2.57%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.82%EV -4.75%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -0.966%E -0.514%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -0.966%E -0.514%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35%EV -2.55%E -1.38%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| Bovada | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.84%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 22:47 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 22:45 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -10.45%E -6.15%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.45%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -5.84%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.05%EV -4.65%E -2.57%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.84%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| betPARX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV -9.53%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 22:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -9.53%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 22:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -10.45%E -6.15%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -9.95%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.68%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -10.57%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -10.57%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-01 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-01 22:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-01 22:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.71%EV -8.34%E -4.79%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -11.14%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.71%EV -8.34%E -4.79%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -11.14%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.00%EV -9.39%E -5.46%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -11.14%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 22:52 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.15%EV -9.92%E -5.80%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -11.14%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -2.55%E -1.38%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -13.69%E -3.30%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.76%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -14.73%E -3.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -11.50%E -6.85%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -16.81%E -4.20%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -16.81%E -4.20%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -23.61%E -8.20%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-04-01 22:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 22:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.09% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 1.6% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |