StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Bahia v Atletico Paranaense

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-01 23:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Bahia (Heim)

Prognose 52.68%1.90faire Quote
EV -0.966%
Vorteil -0.514%
Kelly -1.10%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.88

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
49.18%52.67%52.65%54.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.681.771.781.8859.52%56.34%56.18%53.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Atletico Paranaense (Auswärts)

Prognose 20.80%4.81faire Quote
EV +1.49%
Vorteil +0.306%
Kelly +0.384%
Wachstum +0.006%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.88

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.19%20.80%20.76%22.49%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.004.454.474.8825.00%22.46%22.35%20.49%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.53%3.77faire Quote
EV -1.33%
Vorteil -0.357%
Kelly -0.488%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.72

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.81%26.53%26.60%29.54%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.883.483.503.7234.72%28.74%28.57%26.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Bahia (Heim): 52.68%; Atletico Paranaense (Auswärts): 20.80%; Unentschieden: 26.53%. Für Atletico Paranaense (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.81. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.88 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.49%.

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.90%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.88%EV +1.49%E +0.306%K +0.384%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -1.86%E -0.502%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-01 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.05%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.95%EV +0.867%E +0.179%K +0.225%G +0.002%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.01%EV -1.33%E -0.357%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -10.98%E -6.49%K -15.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -0.173%E -0.036%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 22:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 22:55
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 22:54
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 22:55
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 22:53
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 22:55
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -10.45%E -6.15%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -2.25%E -0.479%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.34%E -4.79%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -3.29%E -0.708%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 22:55
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -4.33%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -3.18%E -0.872%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 22:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.15%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -4.33%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 22:54
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.69%EV -4.65%E -2.57%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.82%EV -4.75%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -0.966%E -0.514%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-01 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -0.966%E -0.514%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-01 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35%EV -2.55%E -1.38%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:54
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 22:54
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.84%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 22:47
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 22:45
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 22:54
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 22:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 22:55
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -10.45%E -6.15%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-01 22:55
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.45%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -5.84%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 22:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.05%EV -4.65%E -2.57%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.84%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:55
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 22:55
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-01 22:55
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV -9.53%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 22:30
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -9.53%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 22:29
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -10.45%E -6.15%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -9.95%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-01 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.68%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -10.57%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 22:54
LeoVegas🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -10.57%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 22:54
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 22:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 22:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 22:44
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-01 22:54
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-01 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.71%EV -8.34%E -4.79%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -11.14%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-01 22:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.71%EV -8.34%E -4.79%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -11.14%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-01 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.00%EV -9.39%E -5.46%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -11.14%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-01 22:52
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.15%EV -9.92%E -5.80%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -11.14%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-01 22:55
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -2.55%E -1.38%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -13.69%E -3.30%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.76%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -14.73%E -3.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-01 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -11.50%E -6.85%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -16.81%E -4.20%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-01 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -16.81%E -4.20%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -23.61%E -8.20%K -12.56%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-01 22:39
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%0.5%2026-04-01 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%0.5%2026-04-01 22:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%0.5%2026-04-01 22:55
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%0.5%2026-04-01 22:55
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-04-01 22:45
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.09%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%1.6%2026-04-01 22:54