La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Bahia v Atletico Paranaense
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bahia (Local)
Predicción 52.68%1.90momio equitativo
EV -0.966%
Ventaja -0.514%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.18%52.67%52.65%54.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.771.781.8859.52%56.34%56.18%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atletico Paranaense (Visitante)
Predicción 20.80%4.81momio equitativo
EV +1.49%
Ventaja +0.306%
Kelly +0.384%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.19%20.80%20.76%22.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.454.474.8825.00%22.46%22.35%20.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.53%3.77momio equitativo
EV -1.33%
Ventaja -0.357%
Kelly -0.488%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.81%26.53%26.60%29.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.483.503.7234.72%28.74%28.57%26.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.90%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.88%EV +1.49%E +0.306%K +0.384%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -1.86%E -0.502%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.05%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.95%EV +0.867%E +0.179%K +0.225%G +0.002% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.01%EV -1.33%E -0.357%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -10.98%E -6.49%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -0.173%E -0.036%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 22:53 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Everygame | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -1.21%E -0.255%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -10.45%E -6.15%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -2.25%E -0.479%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -8.34%E -4.79%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -3.29%E -0.708%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -4.33%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -3.18%E -0.872%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 22:53 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.15%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -4.33%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| GTbets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.69%EV -4.65%E -2.57%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.82%EV -4.75%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -0.966%E -0.514%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -0.966%E -0.514%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35%EV -2.55%E -1.38%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| Bovada | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.84%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 22:47 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 22:45 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -10.45%E -6.15%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -7.45%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -5.84%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.05%EV -4.65%E -2.57%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.84%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| betPARX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV -9.53%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 22:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -9.53%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 22:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -10.45%E -6.15%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -9.95%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.68%EV -5.71%E -3.19%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -10.57%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -10.57%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-01 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-01 22:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-01 22:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.81%E -4.47%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.71%EV -8.34%E -4.79%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -11.14%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.71%EV -8.34%E -4.79%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -11.14%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.00%EV -9.39%E -5.46%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -11.14%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 22:52 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.15%EV -9.92%E -5.80%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -11.14%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -2.55%E -1.38%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -13.69%E -3.30%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -8.49%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.76%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -14.73%E -3.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -11.50%E -6.85%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -16.81%E -4.20%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -9.81%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -16.81%E -4.20%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -23.61%E -8.20%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-04-01 22:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 22:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 22:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.09% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61% | 1.6% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |