Школа коэффициентов

Atletico Paranaense v Grêmio

Начало: 2026-05-02 23:30 UTC

Итог: Atletico Paranaense 0–0 Grêmio

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

54 букмекерские конторы (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Atletico Paranaense (Хозяева)

Прогноз 53.68%1.86справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.85%
Преимущество -1.57%
Kelly -3.51%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.81

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.26%53.73%53.60%55.48%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.631.721.741.8161.35%58.05%57.47%55.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Grêmio (Гости)

Прогноз 18.82%5.31справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.49%
Преимущество +0.634%
Kelly +0.775%
Рост +0.027%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.58%18.76%18.82%19.98%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.405.015.005.5022.73%19.95%20.00%18.18%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.51%3.64справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.422%
Преимущество -0.116%
Kelly -0.161%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.62

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.28%27.51%27.59%29.72%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.383.403.6234.72%29.55%29.41%27.62%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (54 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.63%EV +3.49%E +0.634%K +0.775%G +0.027%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -0.972%E -0.270%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 23:25
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.63%EV +3.49%E +0.634%K +0.775%G +0.027%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -0.972%E -0.270%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 23:25
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.03%EV -3.92%E -2.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.78%EV +2.36%E +0.434%K +0.532%G +0.013%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.20%EV -5.65%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 23:20
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.48%EV -7.68%E -4.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.01%EV -0.274%E -0.052%K -0.064%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -0.972%E -0.270%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 17:30
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -0.274%E -0.052%K -0.064%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 23:25
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -0.274%E -0.052%K -0.064%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 23:24
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 23:20
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 23:20
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 23:20
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 23:20
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 53.66%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 23:20
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.66%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.27%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 23:25
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -2.16%E -0.415%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 23:15
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -2.16%E -0.415%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 23:19
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.60%EV -2.85%E -1.57%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.76%EV -2.72%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.64%EV -3.45%E -0.982%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 23:20
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02%EV -5.53%E -3.14%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.50%EV -3.28%E -0.639%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.48%EV -4.82%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 23:05
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -4.04%E -0.792%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 23:20
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -10.90%E -6.56%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.95%EV -4.04%E -0.792%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 23:20
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -10.90%E -6.56%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.95%EV -4.04%E -0.792%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 23:20
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -12.51%E -7.67%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70%EV -4.04%E -0.792%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 23:25
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -12.51%E -7.67%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70%EV -4.04%E -0.792%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 23:25
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -4.99%E -2.82%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -0.422%E -0.116%K -0.161%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 23:05
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -0.422%E -0.116%K -0.161%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 23:00
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -0.422%E -0.116%K -0.161%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 23:00
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 23:00
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.49%EV -5.53%E -3.14%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 23:15
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 23:10
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 23:14
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 23:15
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 23:10
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 23:15
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 23:10
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 23:10
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 23:09
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 23:10
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -4.46%E -2.50%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.86%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 23:15
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -4.46%E -2.50%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.86%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 23:15
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.26%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -6.86%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 23:25
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.80%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 23:05
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 23:01
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 23:15
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 23:01
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -4.99%E -2.82%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 23:00
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -7.14%E -4.13%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 23:25
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 23:20
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.76%EV -10.90%E -6.56%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.79%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 23:15
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.41%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -11.56%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.61%EV -11.15%E -3.45%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 23:16
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -7.14%E -4.13%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 23:00
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 23:15
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-02 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.26%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.02%EV -15.33%E -3.41%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -20.78%E -7.21%K -11.05%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-02 23:04
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.96%EV -10.90%E -6.56%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -17.21%E -3.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.05%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 23:15
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.32%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.45%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.45%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.45%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-02 23:20
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.50%1.9%2026-05-02 23:20
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.20%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%1.9%2026-05-02 23:20