L’École des cotesAtletico Paranaense v Grêmio
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Atletico Paranaense (Local)
Prévision 53.68%1.86cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -3.51%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.81
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.26%53.73%53.60%55.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.631.721.741.8161.35%58.05%57.47%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Grêmio (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.82%5.31cote équitable
EV +3.49%
Avantage +0.634%
Kelly +0.775%
Croissance +0.027%
avec la cote maximale 5.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.58%18.76%18.82%19.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.405.015.005.5022.73%19.95%20.00%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.51%3.64cote équitable
EV -0.422%
Avantage -0.116%
Kelly -0.161%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.28%27.51%27.59%29.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.383.403.6234.72%29.55%29.41%27.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.63%EV +3.49%E +0.634%K +0.775%G +0.027% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -0.972%E -0.270%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.63%EV +3.49%E +0.634%K +0.775%G +0.027% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -0.972%E -0.270%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.03%EV -3.92%E -2.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.78%EV +2.36%E +0.434%K +0.532%G +0.013% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.20%EV -5.65%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.48%EV -7.68%E -4.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.01%EV -0.274%E -0.052%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -0.972%E -0.270%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 17:30 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -0.274%E -0.052%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -0.274%E -0.052%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 23:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Bovada | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.66%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.66%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 23:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.27%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -2.16%E -0.415%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -2.16%E -0.415%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 23:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.60%EV -2.85%E -1.57%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.76%EV -2.72%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.64%EV -3.45%E -0.982%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| GTbets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02%EV -5.53%E -3.14%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.50%EV -3.28%E -0.639%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.48%EV -4.82%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 23:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -4.04%E -0.792%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -10.90%E -6.56%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.95%EV -4.04%E -0.792%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -10.90%E -6.56%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.95%EV -4.04%E -0.792%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -12.51%E -7.67%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70%EV -4.04%E -0.792%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -12.51%E -7.67%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70%EV -4.04%E -0.792%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -4.99%E -2.82%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -0.422%E -0.116%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -0.422%E -0.116%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -0.422%E -0.116%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.49%EV -5.53%E -3.14%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 23:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 23:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -4.46%E -2.50%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.86%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -4.46%E -2.50%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.86%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.26%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -6.86%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.80%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -4.99%E -2.82%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -7.14%E -4.13%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.76%EV -10.90%E -6.56%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.79%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.41%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -11.56%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.61%EV -11.15%E -3.45%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 23:16 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -7.14%E -4.13%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.26%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.02%EV -15.33%E -3.41%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -20.78%E -7.21%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-02 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.96%EV -10.90%E -6.56%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -17.21%E -3.91%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.05%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.32% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.45% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.45% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.45% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.50% | 1.9% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.20% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.17% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63% | 1.9% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |