La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Atletico Paranaense v Grêmio
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Atletico Paranaense (Casa)
Previsione 53.68%1.86quota equa
EV -2.85%
Vantaggio -1.57%
Kelly -3.51%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.81
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.26%53.73%53.60%55.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.631.721.741.8161.35%58.05%57.47%55.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Grêmio (Trasferta)
Previsione 18.82%5.31quota equa
EV +3.49%
Vantaggio +0.634%
Kelly +0.775%
Crescita +0.027%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.58%18.76%18.82%19.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.405.015.005.5022.73%19.95%20.00%18.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 27.51%3.64quota equa
EV -0.422%
Vantaggio -0.116%
Kelly -0.161%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.62
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.28%27.51%27.59%29.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.383.403.6234.72%29.55%29.41%27.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.63%EV +3.49%E +0.634%K +0.775%G +0.027% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -0.972%E -0.270%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.63%EV +3.49%E +0.634%K +0.775%G +0.027% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -0.972%E -0.270%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.03%EV -3.92%E -2.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.78%EV +2.36%E +0.434%K +0.532%G +0.013% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.20%EV -5.65%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.48%EV -7.68%E -4.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.01%EV -0.274%E -0.052%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -0.972%E -0.270%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 17:30 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -0.274%E -0.052%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -0.274%E -0.052%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 23:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Bovada | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.66%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.66%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 23:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.27%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -2.16%E -0.415%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -2.16%E -0.415%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 23:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.60%EV -2.85%E -1.57%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.76%EV -2.72%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.64%EV -3.45%E -0.982%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| GTbets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02%EV -5.53%E -3.14%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.50%EV -3.28%E -0.639%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.48%EV -4.82%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 23:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -4.04%E -0.792%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -10.90%E -6.56%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.95%EV -4.04%E -0.792%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -10.90%E -6.56%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.95%EV -4.04%E -0.792%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -12.51%E -7.67%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70%EV -4.04%E -0.792%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -12.51%E -7.67%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70%EV -4.04%E -0.792%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -4.99%E -2.82%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -0.422%E -0.116%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -0.422%E -0.116%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -0.422%E -0.116%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.49%EV -5.53%E -3.14%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 23:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 23:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -4.46%E -2.50%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.86%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -4.46%E -2.50%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.86%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.26%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -6.86%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.80%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -4.99%E -2.82%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -7.14%E -4.13%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.76%EV -10.90%E -6.56%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.79%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.41%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -11.56%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.61%EV -11.15%E -3.45%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 23:16 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -7.14%E -4.13%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.26%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.02%EV -15.33%E -3.41%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -20.78%E -7.21%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-02 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.96%EV -10.90%E -6.56%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -17.21%E -3.91%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.05%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.32% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.45% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.45% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.45% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.50% | 1.9% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.20% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.17% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63% | 1.9% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |