StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Atletico Paranaense v Grêmio

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-02 23:30 UTC

Endstand: Atletico Paranaense 0–0 Grêmio

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

54 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Atletico Paranaense (Heim)

Prognose 53.68%1.86faire Quote
EV -2.85%
Vorteil -1.57%
Kelly -3.51%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.81

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.26%53.73%53.60%55.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.631.721.741.8161.35%58.05%57.47%55.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Grêmio (Auswärts)

Prognose 18.82%5.31faire Quote
EV +3.49%
Vorteil +0.634%
Kelly +0.775%
Wachstum +0.027%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.58%18.76%18.82%19.98%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.405.015.005.5022.73%19.95%20.00%18.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.51%3.64faire Quote
EV -0.422%
Vorteil -0.116%
Kelly -0.161%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.62

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.28%27.51%27.59%29.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.883.383.403.6234.72%29.55%29.41%27.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Atletico Paranaense (Heim): 53.68%; Grêmio (Auswärts): 18.82%; Unentschieden: 27.51%. Für Grêmio (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.31. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.49%.

Wettanbieterquoten (54 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.63%EV +3.49%E +0.634%K +0.775%G +0.027%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -0.972%E -0.270%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.63%EV +3.49%E +0.634%K +0.775%G +0.027%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -0.972%E -0.270%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 23:25
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.03%EV -3.92%E -2.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.78%EV +2.36%E +0.434%K +0.532%G +0.013%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.20%EV -5.65%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 23:20
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.48%EV -7.68%E -4.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.01%EV -0.274%E -0.052%K -0.064%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -0.972%E -0.270%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 17:30
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -0.274%E -0.052%K -0.064%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 23:25
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -0.274%E -0.052%K -0.064%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 23:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 23:20
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 23:20
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 23:20
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.66%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 23:20
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.66%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.27%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -1.22%E -0.231%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 23:25
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -2.16%E -0.415%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 23:15
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -2.16%E -0.415%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 23:19
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.60%EV -2.85%E -1.57%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.76%EV -2.72%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.64%EV -3.45%E -0.982%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 23:20
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.02%EV -5.53%E -3.14%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.50%EV -3.28%E -0.639%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.48%EV -4.82%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -4.04%E -0.792%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 23:20
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -10.90%E -6.56%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.95%EV -4.04%E -0.792%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 23:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -10.90%E -6.56%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.95%EV -4.04%E -0.792%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -12.51%E -7.67%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70%EV -4.04%E -0.792%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -12.51%E -7.67%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70%EV -4.04%E -0.792%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 23:25
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -4.99%E -2.82%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -0.422%E -0.116%K -0.161%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -0.422%E -0.116%K -0.161%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 23:00
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -0.422%E -0.116%K -0.161%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 23:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.49%EV -5.53%E -3.14%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 23:15
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 23:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 23:15
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 23:10
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -8.21%E -4.80%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 23:15
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 23:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 23:10
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 23:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.72%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.92%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -4.46%E -2.50%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.86%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 23:15
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -4.46%E -2.50%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.86%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.26%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -6.86%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -8.12%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.80%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 23:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 23:01
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -4.99%E -2.82%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 23:00
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -7.14%E -4.13%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 23:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.76%EV -10.90%E -6.56%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.79%EV -10.62%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.41%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -11.56%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.61%EV -11.15%E -3.45%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 23:16
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -7.14%E -4.13%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 23:15
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-02 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.26%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.02%EV -15.33%E -3.41%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.72%EV -20.78%E -7.21%K -11.05%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-02 23:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.96%EV -10.90%E -6.56%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -17.21%E -3.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.05%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 23:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.32%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.45%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.45%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.45%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-05-02 23:20
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.50%1.9%2026-05-02 23:20
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.20%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%1.9%2026-05-02 23:20