Школа коэффициентов

Atletico Paranaense v Flamengo

Начало: 2026-05-17 22:30 UTC

Итог: Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Flamengo

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

54 букмекерские конторы (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Atletico Paranaense (Хозяева)

Прогноз 26.42%3.79справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.08%
Преимущество +1.03%
Kelly +1.39%
Рост +0.057%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.94

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.60%26.45%26.49%28.19%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.483.453.9431.25%28.77%28.99%25.38%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Flamengo (Гости)

Прогноз 44.35%2.25справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.11%
Преимущество -0.496%
Kelly -0.900%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.23

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.99%44.29%44.27%45.94%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.912.102.102.2352.36%47.59%47.62%44.84%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 29.24%3.42справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.870%
Преимущество +0.252%
Kelly +0.355%
Рост +0.003%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.45

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.12%29.26%29.24%30.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.753.203.203.4536.36%31.30%31.25%28.99%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (54 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet3.94I 25.38%NM 24.60%EV +4.08%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.057%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.94%EV -6.43%E -3.05%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.46%EV -3.81%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 22:20
Pinnacle3.75I 26.67%NM 25.79%EV -0.942%E -0.251%K -0.343%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.36%EV -3.32%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.85%EV -5.27%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 22:20
BetOnline.ag3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -1.73%E -0.466%K -0.638%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -7.32%E -3.50%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 22:00
LowVig.ag3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -1.73%E -0.466%K -0.638%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -7.32%E -3.50%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 22:00
BetUS3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -1.73%E -0.466%K -0.638%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -7.32%E -3.50%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 22:00
BetAnything3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -1.73%E -0.466%K -0.638%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -7.32%E -3.50%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 22:00
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -2.26%E -0.612%K -0.838%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 22:00
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.26%E -0.612%K -0.838%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 21:59
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -3.77%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 22:09
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -5.54%E -2.60%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 22:14
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 22:25
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 21:50
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 22:00
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 22:10
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 21:15
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 22:20
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 22:20
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 22:20
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 22:20
Codere (IT)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.23%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.34%EV -5.54%E -2.60%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 21:45
Marathon Bet3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.02%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.19%EV -6.43%E -3.05%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -7.02%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 22:10
GTbets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -1.55%E -0.698%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.91%EV -2.35%E -0.702%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 21:34
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 21:45
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 22:10
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.31%E -5.65%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 22:26
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.62%EV -1.11%E -0.496%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV +0.870%E +0.252%K +0.355%G +0.003%2.8%2026-05-17 22:25
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.62%EV -1.11%E -0.496%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV +0.870%E +0.252%K +0.355%G +0.003%2.8%2026-05-17 22:25
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 22:10
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.98%E -2.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 22:15
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.98%E -2.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 22:20
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -5.10%E -2.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 22:10
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 22:10
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 22:10
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 22:15
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 22:10
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.31%E -5.65%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.32%EV -15.30%E -8.01%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.78%EV -19.60%E -7.13%K -11.20%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-17 22:06
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:25
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:25
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:25
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:25
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:25
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:25
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 21:45
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -11.31%E -5.65%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.98%E -2.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 22:25
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 21:14
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 22:25
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.67%EV -7.76%E -3.73%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 22:25
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.67%EV -7.76%E -3.73%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 22:25
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.32%EV -13.08%E -6.67%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-17 22:05
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -15.47%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -8.65%E -4.20%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 22:26
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -15.47%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -8.65%E -4.20%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 22:25
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -15.47%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -11.31%E -5.65%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-17 21:45
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-05-17 22:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-05-17 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-05-17 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-05-17 22:20
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%1.5%2026-05-17 22:25
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.14%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.87%4.0%2026-05-17 22:25