La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Atletico Paranaense v Flamengo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atletico Paranaense (Local)
Predicción 26.42%3.79momio equitativo
EV +4.08%
Ventaja +1.03%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.057%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.60%26.45%26.49%28.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.483.453.9431.25%28.77%28.99%25.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Flamengo (Visitante)
Predicción 44.35%2.25momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.496%
Kelly -0.900%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.99%44.29%44.27%45.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.102.102.2352.36%47.59%47.62%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.24%3.42momio equitativo
EV +0.870%
Ventaja +0.252%
Kelly +0.355%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%29.26%29.24%30.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.203.203.4536.36%31.30%31.25%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.60%EV +4.08%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.057% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.94%EV -6.43%E -3.05%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.46%EV -3.81%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| Pinnacle | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.79%EV -0.942%E -0.251%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.36%EV -3.32%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.85%EV -5.27%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -1.73%E -0.466%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -7.32%E -3.50%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -1.73%E -0.466%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -7.32%E -3.50%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 22:00 |
| BetUS | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -1.73%E -0.466%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -7.32%E -3.50%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 22:00 |
| BetAnything | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -1.73%E -0.466%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -7.32%E -3.50%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -2.26%E -0.612%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 22:00 |
| FanDuel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.26%E -0.612%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 21:59 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -3.77%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 22:09 |
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -5.54%E -2.60%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 22:14 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 22:00 |
| Everygame | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 21:15 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.23%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.34%EV -5.54%E -2.60%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.02%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.19%EV -6.43%E -3.05%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -7.02%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| GTbets | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -1.55%E -0.698%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.91%EV -2.35%E -0.702%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-17 21:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 21:45 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.31%E -5.65%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 22:26 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.62%EV -1.11%E -0.496%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV +0.870%E +0.252%K +0.355%G +0.003% | 2.8% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.62%EV -1.11%E -0.496%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV +0.870%E +0.252%K +0.355%G +0.003% | 2.8% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Bet Right | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Betsson | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.98%E -2.82%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 22:15 |
| NordicBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.98%E -2.82%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| BetRivers | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -5.10%E -2.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 22:15 |
| betfred_uk | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Sky Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.31%E -5.65%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-17 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.32%EV -15.30%E -8.01%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.78%EV -19.60%E -7.13%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-17 22:06 |
| Casumo | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| betPARX | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Unibet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -11.31%E -5.65%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.98%E -2.82%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| BoyleSports | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 21:14 |
| LeoVegas | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.67%EV -7.76%E -3.73%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| TABtouch | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.67%EV -7.76%E -3.73%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.32%EV -13.08%E -6.67%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-17 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -15.47%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -8.65%E -4.20%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-17 22:26 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -15.47%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -8.65%E -4.20%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -15.47%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -11.31%E -5.65%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-17 21:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 22:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.20% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Kalshi | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.14% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.87% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |