مدرسة الاحتمالات

Atletico Paranaense v Flamengo

البداية: 2026-05-17 22:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Flamengo

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Atletico Paranaense (المضيف)

التنبؤ 26.42%3.79السعر العادل
EV +4.08%
الأفضلية +1.03%
Kelly +1.39%
النمو +0.057%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.94

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.60%26.45%26.49%28.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.483.453.9431.25%28.77%28.99%25.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Flamengo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.35%2.25السعر العادل
EV -1.11%
الأفضلية -0.496%
Kelly -0.900%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.99%44.29%44.27%45.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.102.102.2352.36%47.59%47.62%44.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.24%3.42السعر العادل
EV +0.870%
الأفضلية +0.252%
Kelly +0.355%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.12%29.26%29.24%30.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.203.203.4536.36%31.30%31.25%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.94I 25.38%NM 24.60%EV +4.08%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.057%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.94%EV -6.43%E -3.05%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.46%EV -3.81%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 22:20
Pinnacle3.75I 26.67%NM 25.79%EV -0.942%E -0.251%K -0.343%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.36%EV -3.32%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.85%EV -5.27%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 22:20
BetOnline.ag3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -1.73%E -0.466%K -0.638%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -7.32%E -3.50%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 22:00
LowVig.ag3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -1.73%E -0.466%K -0.638%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -7.32%E -3.50%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 22:00
BetUS3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -1.73%E -0.466%K -0.638%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -7.32%E -3.50%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 22:00
BetAnything3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -1.73%E -0.466%K -0.638%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -7.32%E -3.50%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 22:00
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -2.26%E -0.612%K -0.838%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 22:00
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.26%E -0.612%K -0.838%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 21:59
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -3.77%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 22:09
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -5.54%E -2.60%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 22:14
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 22:25
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 21:50
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 22:00
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 22:10
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 21:15
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 22:20
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 22:20
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 22:20
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 22:20
Codere (IT)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.23%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.34%EV -5.54%E -2.60%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 21:45
Marathon Bet3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.02%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.19%EV -6.43%E -3.05%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -7.02%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 22:10
GTbets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -1.55%E -0.698%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.91%EV -2.35%E -0.702%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 21:34
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 21:45
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 22:10
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.31%E -5.65%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 22:26
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.62%EV -1.11%E -0.496%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV +0.870%E +0.252%K +0.355%G +0.003%2.8%2026-05-17 22:25
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.62%EV -1.11%E -0.496%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV +0.870%E +0.252%K +0.355%G +0.003%2.8%2026-05-17 22:25
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 22:10
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.98%E -2.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 22:15
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.98%E -2.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 22:20
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -5.10%E -2.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 22:10
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 22:10
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 22:10
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 22:15
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 22:10
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.31%E -5.65%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.32%EV -15.30%E -8.01%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.78%EV -19.60%E -7.13%K -11.20%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-17 22:06
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:25
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:25
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:25
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:25
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:25
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:25
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 21:45
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -11.31%E -5.65%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.98%E -2.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 22:25
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 21:14
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 22:25
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.67%EV -7.76%E -3.73%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 22:25
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.67%EV -7.76%E -3.73%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 22:25
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.32%EV -13.08%E -6.67%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-17 22:05
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -15.47%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -8.65%E -4.20%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 22:26
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -15.47%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -8.65%E -4.20%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 22:25
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -15.47%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -11.31%E -5.65%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-17 21:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-05-17 22:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-05-17 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-05-17 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-05-17 22:20
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%1.5%2026-05-17 22:25
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.14%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.87%4.0%2026-05-17 22:25