L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Atletico Paranaense v Flamengo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Atletico Paranaense (Local)
Prévision 26.42%3.79cote équitable
EV +4.08%
Avantage +1.03%
Kelly +1.39%
Croissance +0.057%
avec la cote maximale 3.94
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.60%26.45%26.49%28.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.483.453.9431.25%28.77%28.99%25.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Flamengo (Visiteur)
Prévision 44.35%2.25cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.496%
Kelly -0.900%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.99%44.29%44.27%45.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.102.102.2352.36%47.59%47.62%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.24%3.42cote équitable
EV +0.870%
Avantage +0.252%
Kelly +0.355%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 3.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.12%29.26%29.24%30.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.203.203.4536.36%31.30%31.25%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.60%EV +4.08%E +1.03%K +1.39%G +0.057% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.94%EV -6.43%E -3.05%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.46%EV -3.81%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| Pinnacle | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.79%EV -0.942%E -0.251%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.36%EV -3.32%E -1.52%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.85%EV -5.27%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -1.73%E -0.466%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -7.32%E -3.50%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -1.73%E -0.466%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -7.32%E -3.50%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 22:00 |
| BetUS | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -1.73%E -0.466%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -7.32%E -3.50%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 22:00 |
| BetAnything | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -1.73%E -0.466%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -7.32%E -3.50%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 22:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -2.26%E -0.612%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 22:00 |
| FanDuel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.26%E -0.612%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 21:59 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -3.77%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 22:09 |
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -5.54%E -2.60%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 22:14 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 22:00 |
| Everygame | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 21:15 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.23%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.34%EV -5.54%E -2.60%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.02%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.19%EV -6.43%E -3.05%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -7.02%E -2.21%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| GTbets | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -1.55%E -0.698%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.91%EV -2.35%E -0.702%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-17 21:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 21:45 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.31%E -5.65%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 22:26 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.62%EV -1.11%E -0.496%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV +0.870%E +0.252%K +0.355%G +0.003% | 2.8% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.62%EV -1.11%E -0.496%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV +0.870%E +0.252%K +0.355%G +0.003% | 2.8% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Bet Right | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Betsson | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.98%E -2.82%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 22:15 |
| NordicBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.98%E -2.82%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| BetRivers | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -5.10%E -2.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 22:15 |
| betfred_uk | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-17 22:10 |
| Sky Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.31%E -5.65%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-17 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.32%EV -15.30%E -8.01%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.78%EV -19.60%E -7.13%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-17 22:06 |
| Casumo | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| betPARX | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Unibet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.68%EV -4.21%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -2.05%E -0.613%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -11.31%E -5.65%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.98%E -2.82%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| BoyleSports | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 21:14 |
| LeoVegas | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.67%EV -7.76%E -3.73%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| TABtouch | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.67%EV -7.76%E -3.73%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -14.15%E -4.35%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.32%EV -13.08%E -6.67%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-17 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -15.47%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -8.65%E -4.20%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-17 22:26 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -15.47%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -8.65%E -4.20%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -15.47%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -11.31%E -5.65%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-17 21:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 22:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 22:20 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.20% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |
| Kalshi | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.14% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.87% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 22:25 |