语言:简体中文
Atletico Paranaense v Chapecoense
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Atletico Paranaense (主队)
预测 63.75%1.57公平赔率
EV -3.74%
优势 -2.48%
Kelly -7.34%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.51
博彩公司预测分布
61.22%63.63%63.77%64.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.461.461.5171.43%68.48%68.49%66.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
Chapecoense (客队)
预测 14.03%7.13公平赔率
EV +1.87%
优势 +0.257%
Kelly +0.298%
增长率 +0.006%
假设最高赔率为 7.26
博彩公司预测分布
13.25%14.16%14.04%16.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.406.576.507.2618.52%15.23%15.38%13.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.22%4.50公平赔率
EV -2.22%
优势 -0.505%
Kelly -0.653%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.40
博彩公司预测分布
21.25%22.21%22.20%24.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.504.174.204.4028.57%23.96%23.81%22.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Atletico Paranaense (主队)：63.75%；Chapecoense (客队)：14.03%；平局：22.22%。 对于“Chapecoense (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.13。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.26，对应+1.87%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.52%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 7.26I 13.77%NM 13.33%EV +1.87%E +0.257%K +0.298%G +0.006% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.15%EV -2.89%E -0.661%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.03%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +1.03%E +0.142%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 08:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.03%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +1.03%E +0.142%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 08:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.03%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +1.03%E +0.142%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 08:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.03%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +1.03%E +0.142%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.50%EV -0.378%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.14%EV -3.78%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 04:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.10%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.43%EV -6.93%E -4.75%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 07:27 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -3.78%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 13:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.51%EV -3.18%E -0.461%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.82%EV -3.74%E -2.48%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.28%EV -5.29%E -0.784%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%EV -2.22%E -0.505%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.82%EV -3.74%E -2.48%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.28%EV -5.29%E -0.784%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%EV -2.22%E -0.505%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.10%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -5.29%E -0.784%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -5.29%E -0.784%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV -5.99%E -0.894%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -3.33%E -0.766%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 04:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.10%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 10:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 10:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 09:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -10.76%E -7.68%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.50%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.49I 15.41%NM 14.38%EV -8.94%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.12%EV -6.22%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 07:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.32%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.74%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 13:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.63%EV -6.93%E -4.75%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.63%EV -6.93%E -4.75%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 13:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.94%EV -8.84%E -6.18%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.60%EV -8.84%E -6.18%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.60%EV -8.84%E -6.18%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.71%EV -10.12%E -7.18%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -12.30%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.71%EV -10.12%E -7.18%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -12.30%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -8.84%E -6.18%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -14.41%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -15.81%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 13:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.34%EV -9.48%E -6.68%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -15.81%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.67%EV -7.78%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.81%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -13.33%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-12 13:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.22%EV -10.76%E -7.68%K -26.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.29%EV -15.81%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.49%EV -22.22%E -6.35%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.00%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -18.62%E -3.21%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 13:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.30%EV -10.12%E -7.18%K -24.68%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -24.23%E -4.49%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.19% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.12% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.68% | 0.3% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.34% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 0.7% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.34% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 0.7% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.34% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 0.7% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.29% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.90% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.81% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.95% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 13:30 |