赔率学院

Atletico Paranaense v Chapecoense

开赛时间: 2026-04-12 14:00 UTC

最终结果: Atletico Paranaense 2–0 Chapecoense

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Atletico Paranaense (主队)

预测 63.75%1.57公平赔率
EV -3.74%
优势 -2.48%
Kelly -7.34%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.51

博彩公司预测分布
61.22%63.63%63.77%64.85%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.401.461.461.5171.43%68.48%68.49%66.23%MIN均值中位数MAX

Chapecoense (客队)

预测 14.03%7.13公平赔率
EV +1.87%
优势 +0.257%
Kelly +0.298%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 7.26

博彩公司预测分布
13.25%14.16%14.04%16.27%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
5.406.576.507.2618.52%15.23%15.38%13.77%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 22.22%4.50公平赔率
EV -2.22%
优势 -0.505%
Kelly -0.653%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.40

博彩公司预测分布
21.25%22.21%22.20%24.49%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.504.174.204.4028.57%23.96%23.81%22.73%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.52%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.26I 13.77%NM 13.33%EV +1.87%E +0.257%K +0.298%G +0.006%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.15%EV -2.89%E -0.661%K -0.857%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 13:30
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.03%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +1.03%E +0.142%K +0.165%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 08:55
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.03%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +1.03%E +0.142%K +0.165%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 08:55
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 64.03%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +1.03%E +0.142%K +0.165%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 08:54
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 64.03%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +1.03%E +0.142%K +0.165%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 08:55
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.50%EV -0.378%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.14%EV -3.78%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 13:30
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 13:30
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 04:10
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.10%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 13:30
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 64.43%EV -6.93%E -4.75%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 07:27
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -3.78%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 13:28
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 13:30
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.51%EV -3.18%E -0.461%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:30
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.82%EV -3.74%E -2.48%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.28%EV -5.29%E -0.784%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%EV -2.22%E -0.505%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.82%EV -3.74%E -2.48%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.28%EV -5.29%E -0.784%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%EV -2.22%E -0.505%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.10%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -5.29%E -0.784%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 13:30
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -5.29%E -0.784%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 13:30
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV -5.99%E -0.894%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -3.33%E -0.766%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 04:09
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:30
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:30
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:30
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:30
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 13:30
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:30
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 63.10%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 13:30
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:59
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:20
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 11:00
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 09:10
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -10.76%E -7.68%K -26.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 13:30
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 63.50%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.38%EV -8.94%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.12%EV -6.22%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 07:54
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.32%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.74%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 13:29
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.63%EV -6.93%E -4.75%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 13:30
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 63.63%EV -6.93%E -4.75%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 13:29
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 63.94%EV -8.84%E -6.18%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 13:30
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 63.60%EV -8.84%E -6.18%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 13:00
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.60%EV -8.84%E -6.18%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.71%EV -10.12%E -7.18%K -24.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -12.30%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 13:30
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.71%EV -10.12%E -7.18%K -24.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -12.30%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 13:30
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -8.84%E -6.18%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -14.41%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 13:30
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -15.81%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 13:29
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.34%EV -9.48%E -6.68%K -22.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -15.81%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.67%EV -7.78%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.81%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -13.33%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 13:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.22%EV -10.76%E -7.68%K -26.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.29%EV -15.81%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.49%EV -22.22%E -6.35%K -8.89%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.00%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -18.62%E -3.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 13:29
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.30%EV -10.12%E -7.18%K -24.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -24.23%E -4.49%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 13:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 65.19%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.68%0.3%2026-04-12 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.34%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.34%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.34%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.29%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.90%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.81%0.8%2026-04-12 13:30
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.95%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79%2.0%2026-04-12 13:30