مدرسة الاحتمالات

Atletico Paranaense v Chapecoense

البداية: 2026-04-12 14:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Atletico Paranaense 2–0 Chapecoense

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Atletico Paranaense (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.75%1.57السعر العادل
EV -3.74%
الأفضلية -2.48%
Kelly -7.34%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.22%63.63%63.77%64.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.461.461.5171.43%68.48%68.49%66.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chapecoense (الضيف)

التنبؤ 14.03%7.13السعر العادل
EV +1.87%
الأفضلية +0.257%
Kelly +0.298%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.26

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.25%14.16%14.04%16.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.406.576.507.2618.52%15.23%15.38%13.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.22%4.50السعر العادل
EV -2.22%
الأفضلية -0.505%
Kelly -0.653%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.25%22.21%22.20%24.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.504.174.204.4028.57%23.96%23.81%22.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.52%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.26I 13.77%NM 13.33%EV +1.87%E +0.257%K +0.298%G +0.006%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.15%EV -2.89%E -0.661%K -0.857%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 13:30
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.03%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +1.03%E +0.142%K +0.165%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 08:55
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.03%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +1.03%E +0.142%K +0.165%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 08:55
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 64.03%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +1.03%E +0.142%K +0.165%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 08:54
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 64.03%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +1.03%E +0.142%K +0.165%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 08:55
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.50%EV -0.378%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.14%EV -3.78%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 13:30
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 13:30
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 04:10
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.10%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 13:30
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 64.43%EV -6.93%E -4.75%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 07:27
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -3.78%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 13:28
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 13:30
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.51%EV -3.18%E -0.461%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:30
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.82%EV -3.74%E -2.48%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.28%EV -5.29%E -0.784%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%EV -2.22%E -0.505%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.82%EV -3.74%E -2.48%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.28%EV -5.29%E -0.784%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%EV -2.22%E -0.505%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.10%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -5.29%E -0.784%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 13:30
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -5.29%E -0.784%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 13:30
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV -5.99%E -0.894%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -3.33%E -0.766%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 04:09
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:30
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:30
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:30
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:30
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 13:30
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:30
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 63.10%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 13:30
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:59
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:20
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 11:00
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 09:10
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -10.76%E -7.68%K -26.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 13:30
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 63.50%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.38%EV -8.94%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.12%EV -6.22%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 07:54
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.32%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.74%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 13:29
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.63%EV -6.93%E -4.75%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 13:30
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 63.63%EV -6.93%E -4.75%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 13:29
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 63.94%EV -8.84%E -6.18%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 13:30
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 63.60%EV -8.84%E -6.18%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 13:00
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.60%EV -8.84%E -6.18%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.71%EV -10.12%E -7.18%K -24.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -12.30%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 13:30
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.71%EV -10.12%E -7.18%K -24.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -12.30%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 13:30
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -8.84%E -6.18%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -14.41%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 13:30
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -15.81%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 13:29
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.34%EV -9.48%E -6.68%K -22.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -15.81%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.67%EV -7.78%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.81%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -13.33%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 13:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.22%EV -10.76%E -7.68%K -26.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.29%EV -15.81%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.49%EV -22.22%E -6.35%K -8.89%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.00%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -18.62%E -3.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 13:29
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.30%EV -10.12%E -7.18%K -24.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -24.23%E -4.49%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 13:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 65.19%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.68%0.3%2026-04-12 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.34%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.34%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.34%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.29%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.90%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.81%0.8%2026-04-12 13:30
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.95%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79%2.0%2026-04-12 13:30