Школа коэффициентов

Atletico Paranaense v Chapecoense

Начало: 2026-04-12 14:00 UTC

Итог: Atletico Paranaense 2–0 Chapecoense

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Atletico Paranaense (Хозяева)

Прогноз 63.75%1.57справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.74%
Преимущество -2.48%
Kelly -7.34%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.51

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
61.22%63.63%63.77%64.85%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.401.461.461.5171.43%68.48%68.49%66.23%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Chapecoense (Гости)

Прогноз 14.03%7.13справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.87%
Преимущество +0.257%
Kelly +0.298%
Рост +0.006%

при максимальном коэффициенте 7.26

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
13.25%14.16%14.04%16.27%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
5.406.576.507.2618.52%15.23%15.38%13.77%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 22.22%4.50справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.22%
Преимущество -0.505%
Kelly -0.653%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.25%22.21%22.20%24.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.504.174.204.4028.57%23.96%23.81%22.73%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.52%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.26I 13.77%NM 13.33%EV +1.87%E +0.257%K +0.298%G +0.006%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.15%EV -2.89%E -0.661%K -0.857%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 13:30
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.03%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +1.03%E +0.142%K +0.165%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 08:55
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.03%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +1.03%E +0.142%K +0.165%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 08:55
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 64.03%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +1.03%E +0.142%K +0.165%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 08:54
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 64.03%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV +1.03%E +0.142%K +0.165%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 08:55
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.50%EV -0.378%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.14%EV -3.78%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 13:30
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 13:30
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 04:10
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.10%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 13:30
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 64.43%EV -6.93%E -4.75%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 07:27
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -3.78%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 13:28
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.78%E -0.254%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 13:30
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.51%EV -3.18%E -0.461%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:30
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.82%EV -3.74%E -2.48%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.28%EV -5.29%E -0.784%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%EV -2.22%E -0.505%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.82%EV -3.74%E -2.48%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.28%EV -5.29%E -0.784%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%EV -2.22%E -0.505%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 13:00
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.10%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -5.29%E -0.784%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 13:30
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -5.29%E -0.784%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 13:30
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV -5.99%E -0.894%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -3.33%E -0.766%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 04:09
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:30
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:30
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:30
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:30
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 13:30
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:30
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 63.10%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 13:30
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:59
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:20
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 11:00
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 09:10
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -10.76%E -7.68%K -26.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -8.80%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.11%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 13:30
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 63.50%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.38%EV -8.94%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.12%EV -6.22%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 07:54
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.32%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.74%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 13:29
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.63%EV -6.93%E -4.75%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 13:30
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 63.63%EV -6.93%E -4.75%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 13:29
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 63.94%EV -8.84%E -6.18%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 13:30
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 63.60%EV -8.84%E -6.18%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 13:00
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.60%EV -8.84%E -6.18%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -10.20%E -1.59%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.71%EV -10.12%E -7.18%K -24.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -12.30%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 13:30
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.71%EV -10.12%E -7.18%K -24.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -12.30%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 13:30
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -8.84%E -6.18%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -14.41%E -2.36%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -5.55%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 13:30
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -15.81%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.67%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 13:29
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.34%EV -9.48%E -6.68%K -22.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -15.81%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.67%EV -7.78%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.81%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -13.33%E -3.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 13:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.22%EV -10.76%E -7.68%K -26.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.29%EV -15.81%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.49%EV -22.22%E -6.35%K -8.89%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.00%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -18.62%E -3.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 13:29
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.30%EV -10.12%E -7.18%K -24.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -24.23%E -4.49%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -8.89%E -2.17%K -2.87%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 13:30
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 65.19%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.68%0.3%2026-04-12 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.34%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.34%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.34%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.29%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.90%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.81%0.8%2026-04-12 13:30
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.95%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79%2.0%2026-04-12 13:30