The School of Odds

Royal Antwerp v SK Beveren

2026-08-09 17:15 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Royal Antwerp (Local)

Prediction 54.39%1.84fair odd
EV -0.468%
Edge -0.256%
Kelly -0.564%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.11%54.69%54.81%58.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.561.661.641.8364%60%61%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

SK Beveren (Visit)

Prediction 19.05%5.25fair odd
EV +4.77%
Edge +0.867%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.99%18.86%18.75%20.24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.304.794.905.5023%21%20%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.56%3.76fair odd
EV +0.937%
Edge +0.247%
Kelly +0.335%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.59%26.45%26.44%28.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.403.403.8031%29%29%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -12.98%E -8.11%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV +4.77%E +0.867%K +1.06%G +0.051%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV +0.937%E +0.247%K +0.335%G +0.003%7.0%2026-07-21 14:25
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.76%E -0.951%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 14:25
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.76%E -0.951%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 14:25
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -10.80%E -6.59%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -6.66%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -10.80%E -6.59%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -6.66%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:20
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -10.80%E -6.59%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -6.66%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:20
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -10.80%E -6.59%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -6.66%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:20
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -10.80%E -6.59%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -6.66%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:20
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -10.80%E -6.59%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -6.66%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:20
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -10.80%E -6.59%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -6.66%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -10.80%E -6.59%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -6.66%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -10.80%E -6.59%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -6.66%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -10.80%E -6.59%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -6.66%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -10.80%E -6.59%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -6.66%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -10.80%E -6.59%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -6.66%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -10.80%E -6.59%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -6.66%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -10.80%E -6.59%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -6.66%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.14%EV -0.468%E -0.256%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.80%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -10.26%E -6.22%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -9.52%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.03%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 14:25
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -10.26%E -6.22%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -9.52%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.03%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 14:24
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.87%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -11.42%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.03%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 14:25
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.87%EV -3.19%E -1.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -11.42%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.03%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 14:25
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.01%EV -14.61%E -9.31%K -25.63%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.57%EV -11.42%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.41%EV -13.14%E -4.02%K -5.79%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-21 14:23
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.92%EV -14.61%E -9.31%K -25.63%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.54%EV -11.42%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.53%EV -13.67%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-21 14:25
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -4.82%E -2.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -13.67%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 14:25
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -4.82%E -2.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -13.67%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 14:25
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -4.82%E -2.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -13.67%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 14:25
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -4.82%E -2.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -13.67%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 14:25
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -11.89%E -7.34%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -12.38%E -2.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-21 14:25
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.07%EV -14.07%E -8.90%K -24.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.34%EV -14.28%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-21 14:25
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 53.40%EV -11.89%E -7.34%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.98%EV -17.52%E -4.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.62%EV -13.67%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-21 14:24
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.05%EV -15.15%E -9.71%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.61%EV -18.09%E -4.21%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.35%EV -15.00%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-21 14:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 53.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.07%17.3%2026-07-21 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-21 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-21 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-21 14:25
Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.87%1xBet 1.83 (55.1%) / Tipico (DE) 5.50 (18.3%) / Tipico (DE) 3.80 (26.5%)Show details
Royal Antwerp (Local)SK Beveren (Visit)DrawMargin
1xBet 1.83 (55.1%)Tipico (DE) 5.50 (18.3%)Tipico (DE) 3.80 (26.5%)+0.865%