Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Royal Antwerp v SK Beveren

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 17:15 UTC

Score final : Royal Antwerp 2–1 SK Beveren

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Royal Antwerp (Local)

Prévision 39.64%2.52cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -1.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.44%39.88%39.66%44.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.302.302.4547.62%43.46%43.48%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SK Beveren (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.88%3.14cote équitable
EV +13.19%
Avantage +3.72%
Kelly +5.17%
Croissance +0.682%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.55%31.71%31.80%33.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.682.952.953.5537.31%33.92%33.90%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.48%3.51cote équitable
EV -0.327%
Avantage -0.094%
Kelly -0.131%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.65%28.41%28.53%29.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.233.253.5033.90%30.92%30.77%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Royal Antwerp (Local) : 39.64% ; SK Beveren (Visiteur) : 31.88% ; Match nul : 28.48%. Pour SK Beveren (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.14. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.55, soit une espérance positive de +13.19%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -16.76%E -7.98%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV +13.19%E +3.72%K +5.17%G +0.682%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 17:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -8.04%E -3.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%EV +2.03%E +0.635%K +0.923%G +0.019%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -1.75%E -0.508%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 17:00
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -8.04%E -3.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%EV +2.03%E +0.635%K +0.923%G +0.019%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -1.75%E -0.508%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -8.04%E -3.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%EV +2.03%E +0.635%K +0.923%G +0.019%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -1.75%E -0.508%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 17:00
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.01%EV -0.200%E -0.064%K -0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-09 17:05
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -10.82%E -4.81%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.16%E -0.373%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -10.82%E -4.81%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.16%E -0.373%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -10.82%E -4.81%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.16%E -0.373%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:55
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -10.82%E -4.81%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.16%E -0.373%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 17:00
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.30%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.88%EV -3.71%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.82%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 17:09
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 17:10
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 17:05
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 17:05
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 17:09
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -12.80%E -5.82%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 16:55
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -12.80%E -5.82%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 16:55
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -12.80%E -5.82%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 17:00
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -5.94%E -2.01%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.25%EV -13.99%E -6.45%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -5.94%E -2.01%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -14.78%E -6.87%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -5.94%E -2.01%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -14.78%E -6.87%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -5.94%E -2.01%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -14.78%E -6.87%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -5.94%E -2.01%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 17:00
Suprabets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 17:09
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 17:09
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 17:08
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 17:09
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 17:05
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.73%EV -9.23%E -4.03%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.62%EV -8.81%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -0.327%E -0.094%K -0.131%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 17:10
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 17:09
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.28%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -12.32%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -10.82%E -4.81%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.32%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -12.32%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-09 17:05
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -12.32%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-09 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -13.91%E -5.15%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -13.91%E -5.15%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -15.99%E -5.42%K -8.20%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-09 17:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.08%E -1.69%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.80%EV -14.55%E -5.43%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 17:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%0.9%2026-08-09 17:10
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-09 17:10
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.2%2026-08-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%1.7%2026-08-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%1.7%2026-08-09 17:10
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.60%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26%2.0%2026-08-09 17:10