L’École des cotes

Royal Antwerp v SK Beveren

2026-08-09 17:15 UTC — Belgium First Div

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Royal Antwerp (Local)

Prévision 55.22%1.81cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -0.958%
Kelly -2.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.87%55.34%55.27%58.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.641.641.7866.67%60.86%60.98%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SK Beveren (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.53%5.40cote équitable
EV +1.91%
Avantage +0.348%
Kelly +0.425%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.99%18.55%18.49%20.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.844.905.5023.26%20.67%20.41%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.25%3.81cote équitable
EV -0.257%
Avantage -0.068%
Kelly -0.092%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.59%26.10%26.23%26.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.443.403.8030.77%29.10%29.41%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -11.64%E -7.28%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV +1.91%E +0.348%K +0.425%G +0.008%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -0.257%E -0.068%K -0.092%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 14:25
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.37%EV -7.23%E -4.30%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -2.72%E -0.518%K -0.640%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -2.88%E -0.779%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 12:35
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.89%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.49%EV -4.20%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.62%EV -2.09%E -0.561%K -0.767%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 22:59
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.92%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.49%EV -6.42%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -4.19%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 22:55
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -8.88%E -5.38%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.35%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.13%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-23 23:24
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:20
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:20
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:20
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:20
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:20
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -11.06%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 23:05
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -11.06%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 23:05
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -11.06%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 23:05
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -11.06%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -8.88%E -5.38%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.98%E -2.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.13%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 14:25
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -8.88%E -5.38%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.98%E -2.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.13%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 14:24
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.27%EV -12.20%E -7.67%K -20.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.50%EV -11.98%E -2.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -12.07%E -3.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.16%EV -12.20%E -7.67%K -20.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.66%EV -12.91%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.18%EV -12.07%E -3.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 17:15
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.16%EV -17.17%E -11.44%K -34.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.92%EV -12.91%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.92%EV -14.69%E -4.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-24 23:05
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.87%EV -1.70%E -0.958%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -13.84%E -2.98%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.13%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 02:49
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.87%EV -1.70%E -0.958%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -13.84%E -2.98%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.13%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 02:49
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -10.54%E -6.51%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -14.76%E -3.21%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-21 14:25
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.07%EV -12.75%E -8.07%K -21.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.34%EV -16.62%E -3.69%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-23 23:25
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 53.40%EV -10.54%E -6.51%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.98%EV -19.77%E -4.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.62%EV -14.69%E -4.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-21 14:24
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.27%EV -13.85%E -8.88%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.69%EV -20.32%E -4.73%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.05%EV -14.69%E -4.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%18.1%2026-07-23 23:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 54.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.76%16.8%2026-07-23 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-21 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-21 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-21 14:25