La escuela de los momios

Royal Antwerp v SK Beveren

2026-08-09 17:15 UTC — Belgium First Div

Resultado del partido

34 corredores (7 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Royal Antwerp (Local)

Predicción 55.22%1.81momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -0.958%
Kelly -2.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.87%55.34%55.27%58.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.641.641.7866.67%60.86%60.98%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SK Beveren (Visitante)

Predicción 18.53%5.40momio equitativo
EV +1.91%
Ventaja +0.348%
Kelly +0.425%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.99%18.55%18.49%20.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.844.905.5023.26%20.67%20.41%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.25%3.81momio equitativo
EV -0.257%
Ventaja -0.068%
Kelly -0.092%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.59%26.10%26.23%26.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.443.403.8030.77%29.10%29.41%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (34 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -11.64%E -7.28%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV +1.91%E +0.348%K +0.425%G +0.008%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -0.257%E -0.068%K -0.092%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 14:25
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.37%EV -7.23%E -4.30%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -2.72%E -0.518%K -0.640%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -2.88%E -0.779%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 12:35
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.89%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.49%EV -4.20%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.62%EV -2.09%E -0.561%K -0.767%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 22:59
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.92%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.49%EV -6.42%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -4.19%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 22:55
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -8.88%E -5.38%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.35%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.13%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-23 23:24
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:20
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:20
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:20
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:20
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:20
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 55.03%EV -9.44%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-21 14:25
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -11.06%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 23:05
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -11.06%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 23:05
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -11.06%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 23:05
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -11.06%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -8.88%E -5.38%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.98%E -2.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.13%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 14:25
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -8.88%E -5.38%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.98%E -2.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.13%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 14:24
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.27%EV -12.20%E -7.67%K -20.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.50%EV -11.98%E -2.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -12.07%E -3.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.16%EV -12.20%E -7.67%K -20.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.66%EV -12.91%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.18%EV -12.07%E -3.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 17:15
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.16%EV -17.17%E -11.44%K -34.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.92%EV -12.91%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.92%EV -14.69%E -4.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-24 23:05
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.87%EV -1.70%E -0.958%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -13.84%E -2.98%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.13%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 02:49
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.87%EV -1.70%E -0.958%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -13.84%E -2.98%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.13%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 02:49
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -10.54%E -6.51%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -14.76%E -3.21%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-21 14:25
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.07%EV -12.75%E -8.07%K -21.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.34%EV -16.62%E -3.69%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -10.76%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-23 23:25
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 53.40%EV -10.54%E -6.51%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.98%EV -19.77%E -4.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.62%EV -14.69%E -4.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-21 14:24
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.27%EV -13.85%E -8.88%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.69%EV -20.32%E -4.73%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.05%EV -14.69%E -4.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%18.1%2026-07-23 23:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 54.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.76%16.8%2026-07-23 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-21 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-21 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-21 14:25