Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Royal Antwerp v SK Beveren

Início: 2026-08-09 17:15 UTC

Final: Royal Antwerp 2–1 SK Beveren

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Royal Antwerp (Local)

Previsão 39.64%2.52odd justa
EV -2.89%
Vantagem -1.18%
Kelly -1.99%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.44%39.88%39.66%44.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.302.302.4547.62%43.46%43.48%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SK Beveren (Visitante)

Previsão 31.88%3.14odd justa
EV +13.19%
Vantagem +3.72%
Kelly +5.17%
Crescimento +0.682%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.55%31.71%31.80%33.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.682.952.953.5537.31%33.92%33.90%28.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.48%3.51odd justa
EV -0.327%
Vantagem -0.094%
Kelly -0.131%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.65%28.41%28.53%29.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.233.253.5033.90%30.92%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Royal Antwerp (Local): 39.64%; SK Beveren (Visitante): 31.88%; Empate: 28.48%. Para SK Beveren (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.14. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.55, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +13.19%.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -16.76%E -7.98%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV +13.19%E +3.72%K +5.17%G +0.682%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 17:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -8.04%E -3.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%EV +2.03%E +0.635%K +0.923%G +0.019%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -1.75%E -0.508%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 17:00
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -8.04%E -3.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%EV +2.03%E +0.635%K +0.923%G +0.019%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -1.75%E -0.508%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -8.04%E -3.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%EV +2.03%E +0.635%K +0.923%G +0.019%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -1.75%E -0.508%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 17:00
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.01%EV -0.200%E -0.064%K -0.094%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-09 17:05
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -10.82%E -4.81%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.16%E -0.373%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -10.82%E -4.81%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.16%E -0.373%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -10.82%E -4.81%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.16%E -0.373%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:55
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -10.82%E -4.81%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.16%E -0.373%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 17:00
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.30%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.88%EV -3.71%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.82%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 17:09
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 17:10
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.18%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 17:05
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 17:05
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.66%E -2.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 17:09
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -12.80%E -5.82%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 16:55
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -12.80%E -5.82%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 16:55
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -12.80%E -5.82%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 17:00
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -5.94%E -2.01%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.25%EV -13.99%E -6.45%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -5.94%E -2.01%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -14.78%E -6.87%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -5.94%E -2.01%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -14.78%E -6.87%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -5.94%E -2.01%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -14.78%E -6.87%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -5.94%E -2.01%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 17:00
Suprabets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 17:09
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.53%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 17:09
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.87%E -2.03%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 17:08
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 17:09
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 17:05
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.17%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.73%EV -9.23%E -4.03%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.62%EV -8.81%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -0.327%E -0.094%K -0.131%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 17:10
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -2.89%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 17:09
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.72%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.28%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -6.85%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -12.32%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -10.82%E -4.81%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.32%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -12.32%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-09 17:05
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -12.32%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-09 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -13.91%E -5.15%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -8.83%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -13.91%E -5.15%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -15.99%E -5.42%K -8.20%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-09 17:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.08%E -1.69%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.80%EV -14.55%E -5.43%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 17:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%0.9%2026-08-09 17:10
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-09 17:10
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.2%2026-08-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%1.7%2026-08-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.35%1.7%2026-08-09 17:10
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.60%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26%2.0%2026-08-09 17:10