Language:English
Royal Antwerp v Leuven
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Royal Antwerp (Local)
Prediction 45.90%2.18fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.48%45.99%45.98%47.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.012.002.1352.63%49.76%50.00%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leuven (Visit)
Prediction 26.33%3.80fair odd
EV +3.99%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.054%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.75%26.15%26.43%27.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.563.503.9533.33%28.10%28.57%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.77%3.60fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.720%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.67%27.85%27.59%29.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.303.303.5134.72%30.32%30.30%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Royal Antwerp (Local): 45.90%; Leuven (Visit): 26.33%; Draw: 27.77%. For Leuven (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.99%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -9.11%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +3.99%E +1.01%K +1.35%G +0.054% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -9.11%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +3.99%E +1.01%K +1.35%G +0.054% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -9.11%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +3.99%E +1.01%K +1.35%G +0.054% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -4.52%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV +1.36%E +0.352%K +0.475%G +0.006% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV +1.36%E +0.352%K +0.475%G +0.006% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.81%EV -4.98%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV +0.039%E +0.010%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-18 14:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.81%EV -4.98%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV +0.039%E +0.010%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-18 14:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -1.28%E -0.341%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -6.36%E -3.12%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -4.19%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -6.36%E -3.12%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -4.19%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 14:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.19%EV -7.27%E -3.60%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.36%EV -3.12%E -0.848%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -8.91%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.27%E -3.60%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -3.91%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 14:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.91%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.19%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -3.91%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.55%EV -2.22%E -1.04%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.80%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.64%EV -2.53%E -0.720%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -3.60%E -1.72%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:03 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -9.11%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 14:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -9.57%E -4.86%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 14:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -10.95%E -5.64%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -6.54%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -12.32%E -6.45%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -6.54%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.60%E -1.72%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.60%E -1.72%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -6.81%E -3.36%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.57%E -4.86%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:06 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.74%EV -11.86%E -6.18%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 14:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -16.69%E -5.56%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-18 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.18%E -2.66%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 14:09 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 14:07 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 14:02 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.27%E -3.60%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -12.52%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 14:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.62%EV -12.78%E -6.73%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.49%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -16.69%E -5.56%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-18 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -9.11%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.81%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 14:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.32%EV -8.65%E -4.35%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -11.81%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.43%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -11.81%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.52%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-18 14:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.39%EV -10.95%E -5.64%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -14.44%E -4.44%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-18 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.48%EV -12.32%E -6.45%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.68%EV -21.02%E -7.01%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.84%EV -20.02%E -6.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78% | 2.9% | 2026-04-18 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78% | 2.9% | 2026-04-18 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78% | 2.9% | 2026-04-18 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.92% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36% | 3.7% | 2026-04-18 14:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 14:07 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 38.96% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 26.93% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 34.12% | 82.1% | 2026-04-18 14:10 |