A Escola das Odds

Royal Antwerp v Leuven

Início: 2026-04-18 14:12 UTC

Final: Royal Antwerp 2–0 Leuven

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Royal Antwerp (Local)

Previsão 45.90%2.18odd justa
EV -2.22%
Vantagem -1.04%
Kelly -1.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.48%45.99%45.98%47.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.902.012.002.1352.63%49.76%50.00%46.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Leuven (Visitante)

Previsão 26.33%3.80odd justa
EV +3.99%
Vantagem +1.01%
Kelly +1.35%
Crescimento +0.054%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.75%26.15%26.43%27.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.563.503.9533.33%28.10%28.57%25.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.77%3.60odd justa
EV -2.53%
Vantagem -0.720%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.67%27.85%27.59%29.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.303.303.5134.72%30.32%30.30%28.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -9.11%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +3.99%E +1.01%K +1.35%G +0.054%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -9.11%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +3.99%E +1.01%K +1.35%G +0.054%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:00
BetAnything1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -9.11%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +3.99%E +1.01%K +1.35%G +0.054%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -4.52%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV +1.36%E +0.352%K +0.475%G +0.006%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 13:59
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV +1.36%E +0.352%K +0.475%G +0.006%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.81%EV -4.98%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV +0.039%E +0.010%K +0.014%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 14:09
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.81%EV -4.98%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV +0.039%E +0.010%K +0.014%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 14:10
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -1.28%E -0.341%K -0.465%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -6.36%E -3.12%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -4.19%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 14:10
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -6.36%E -3.12%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -4.19%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 14:09
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:10
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.19%EV -7.27%E -3.60%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.36%EV -3.12%E -0.848%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -8.91%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.27%E -3.60%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -3.91%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:10
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.91%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.19%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:10
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -3.91%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 14:00
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.55%EV -2.22%E -1.04%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.80%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.64%EV -2.53%E -0.720%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -3.60%E -1.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:03
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -9.11%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 14:09
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -9.57%E -4.86%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:09
PMU (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -10.95%E -5.64%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -6.54%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -12.32%E -6.45%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -6.54%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.60%E -1.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.60%E -1.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:58
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -6.81%E -3.36%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:58
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.57%E -4.86%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:06
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:58
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:58
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.74%EV -11.86%E -6.18%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 14:09
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 14:05
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -16.69%E -5.56%K -8.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.18%E -2.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:09
Suprabets2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 14:07
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:02
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:59
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.27%E -3.60%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -12.52%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 14:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 14:04
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 45.62%EV -12.78%E -6.73%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.49%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -16.69%E -5.56%K -8.34%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-18 14:10
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -9.11%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.81%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 14:09
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.32%EV -8.65%E -4.35%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -11.81%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.43%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -11.81%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.52%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.39%EV -10.95%E -5.64%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -14.44%E -4.44%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.48%EV -12.32%E -6.45%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.68%EV -21.02%E -7.01%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.84%EV -20.02%E -6.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-18 13:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%2.9%2026-04-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%2.9%2026-04-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%2.9%2026-04-18 14:10
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36%3.7%2026-04-18 14:10
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%8.1%2026-04-18 14:07
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 38.96%2.04I 49.02%NM 26.93%1.61I 62.11%NM 34.12%82.1%2026-04-18 14:10