L’École des cotes

Royal Antwerp v Leuven

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 14:12 UTC

Score final : Royal Antwerp 2–0 Leuven

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Royal Antwerp (Local)

Prévision 45.90%2.18cote équitable
EV -2.22%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -1.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.48%45.99%45.98%47.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.012.002.1352.63%49.76%50.00%46.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leuven (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.33%3.80cote équitable
EV +3.99%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +1.35%
Croissance +0.054%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.75%26.15%26.43%27.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.563.503.9533.33%28.10%28.57%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.77%3.60cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -0.720%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.67%27.85%27.59%29.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.303.303.5134.72%30.32%30.30%28.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -9.11%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +3.99%E +1.01%K +1.35%G +0.054%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -9.11%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +3.99%E +1.01%K +1.35%G +0.054%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:00
BetAnything1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -9.11%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +3.99%E +1.01%K +1.35%G +0.054%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -4.52%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV +1.36%E +0.352%K +0.475%G +0.006%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 13:59
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV +1.36%E +0.352%K +0.475%G +0.006%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.81%EV -4.98%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV +0.039%E +0.010%K +0.014%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 14:09
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.81%EV -4.98%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV +0.039%E +0.010%K +0.014%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 14:10
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -1.28%E -0.341%K -0.465%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -6.36%E -3.12%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -4.19%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 14:10
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -6.36%E -3.12%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -4.19%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 14:09
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:10
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.19%EV -7.27%E -3.60%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.36%EV -3.12%E -0.848%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -8.91%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.27%E -3.60%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -3.91%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:10
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.91%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.19%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:10
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -3.91%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 14:00
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.55%EV -2.22%E -1.04%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.80%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.64%EV -2.53%E -0.720%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -3.60%E -1.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:03
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -9.11%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 14:09
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -9.57%E -4.86%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:09
PMU (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -10.95%E -5.64%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -6.54%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -12.32%E -6.45%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -6.54%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.60%E -1.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.60%E -1.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:58
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -6.81%E -3.36%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:58
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.57%E -4.86%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:06
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:58
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:58
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.74%EV -11.86%E -6.18%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 14:09
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 14:05
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -16.69%E -5.56%K -8.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.18%E -2.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:09
Suprabets2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 14:07
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:02
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:59
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.27%E -3.60%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -12.52%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 14:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 14:04
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 45.62%EV -12.78%E -6.73%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.49%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -16.69%E -5.56%K -8.34%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-18 14:10
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -9.11%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.81%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 14:09
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.32%EV -8.65%E -4.35%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -11.81%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.43%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -11.81%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.52%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.39%EV -10.95%E -5.64%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -14.44%E -4.44%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.48%EV -12.32%E -6.45%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.68%EV -21.02%E -7.01%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.84%EV -20.02%E -6.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-18 13:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%2.9%2026-04-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%2.9%2026-04-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%2.9%2026-04-18 14:10
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36%3.7%2026-04-18 14:10
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%8.1%2026-04-18 14:07
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 38.96%2.04I 49.02%NM 26.93%1.61I 62.11%NM 34.12%82.1%2026-04-18 14:10