La escuela de los momios

Royal Antwerp v Leuven

Inicio: 2026-04-18 14:12 UTC

Final: Royal Antwerp 2–0 Leuven

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Royal Antwerp (Local)

Predicción 45.90%2.18momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.48%45.99%45.98%47.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.012.002.1352.63%49.76%50.00%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Leuven (Visitante)

Predicción 26.33%3.80momio equitativo
EV +3.99%
Ventaja +1.01%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.054%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.75%26.15%26.43%27.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.563.503.9533.33%28.10%28.57%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.77%3.60momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -0.720%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.67%27.85%27.59%29.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.303.303.5134.72%30.32%30.30%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -9.11%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +3.99%E +1.01%K +1.35%G +0.054%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -9.11%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +3.99%E +1.01%K +1.35%G +0.054%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:00
BetAnything1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -9.11%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV +3.99%E +1.01%K +1.35%G +0.054%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -4.52%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV +1.36%E +0.352%K +0.475%G +0.006%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 13:59
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV +1.36%E +0.352%K +0.475%G +0.006%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.81%EV -4.98%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV +0.039%E +0.010%K +0.014%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 14:09
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.81%EV -4.98%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV +0.039%E +0.010%K +0.014%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 14:10
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -1.28%E -0.341%K -0.465%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -6.36%E -3.12%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -4.19%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 14:10
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%EV -6.36%E -3.12%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -4.19%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 14:09
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:10
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.19%EV -7.27%E -3.60%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.36%EV -3.12%E -0.848%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -8.91%E -2.72%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.27%E -3.60%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -3.91%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:10
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.91%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.19%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:10
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -3.91%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 14:00
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.55%EV -2.22%E -1.04%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.80%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.64%EV -2.53%E -0.720%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -3.60%E -1.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:03
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -9.11%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 14:09
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -9.57%E -4.86%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -5.23%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:09
PMU (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -10.95%E -5.64%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -6.54%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -12.32%E -6.45%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -6.54%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.60%E -1.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.60%E -1.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:58
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -6.81%E -3.36%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:58
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.57%E -4.86%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:06
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:58
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:58
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.74%EV -11.86%E -6.18%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 14:09
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 14:05
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -7.86%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -16.69%E -5.56%K -8.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.18%E -2.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:09
Suprabets2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 14:07
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.90%E -2.88%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:02
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.19%E -4.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:59
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.27%E -3.60%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -12.52%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 14:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 14:04
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 45.62%EV -12.78%E -6.73%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.49%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -16.69%E -5.56%K -8.34%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-18 14:10
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -9.11%E -4.60%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.81%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 14:09
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.32%EV -8.65%E -4.35%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -11.81%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.43%EV -10.49%E -5.38%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -11.81%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.52%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.39%EV -10.95%E -5.64%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -14.44%E -4.44%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.48%EV -12.32%E -6.45%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.68%EV -21.02%E -7.01%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.84%EV -20.02%E -6.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-18 13:58
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%2.9%2026-04-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%2.9%2026-04-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%2.9%2026-04-18 14:10
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36%3.7%2026-04-18 14:10
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%8.1%2026-04-18 14:07
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 38.96%2.04I 49.02%NM 26.93%1.61I 62.11%NM 34.12%82.1%2026-04-18 14:10