Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

KV Kortrijk v SK Beveren

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 17:16 UTC

Final: KV Kortrijk 1–0 SK Beveren

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KV Kortrijk (Local)

Prediction 33.72%2.97fair odd
EV +2.86%
Edge +0.938%
Kelly +1.40%
Growth +0.040%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.87%33.82%33.73%35.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.783.0538.46%36.12%35.97%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SK Beveren (Visit)

Prediction 39.26%2.55fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.906%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.67%39.15%39.24%42.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.162.332.352.4946.30%42.88%42.55%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.02%3.70fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.02%27.02%27.03%28.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.453.5532.26%29.50%28.99%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KV Kortrijk (Local): 33.72%; SK Beveren (Visit): 39.26%; Draw: 27.02%. For KV Kortrijk (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +2.86%E +0.938%K +1.40%G +0.040%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -12.46%E -5.59%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 17:14
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.63%EV +2.52%E +0.830%K +1.24%G +0.031%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.57%EV -6.97%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.79%EV -6.51%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 17:09
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV +1.17%E +0.391%K +0.587%G +0.007%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -13.64%E -6.20%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 17:14
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.38%EV -2.20%E -0.758%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.88%EV -2.26%E -0.906%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.74%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 17:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.06%EV -2.20%E -0.758%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.94%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 17:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.06%EV -2.20%E -0.758%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.94%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 17:14
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -2.20%E -0.758%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.85%EV -15.21%E -7.04%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 17:14
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -2.20%E -0.758%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.85%EV -15.21%E -7.04%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 17:14
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -3.89%E -1.36%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -3.89%E -1.36%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:49
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 17:13
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 17:10
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 17:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 17:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 17:14
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:09
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.33%EV -5.91%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.91%EV -6.18%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 17:09
Suprabets🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.19%EV -5.91%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.24%EV -7.36%E -3.12%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.56%EV -9.21%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 16:56
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -6.25%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 17:09
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -6.25%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -7.26%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.83%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 16:44
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.26%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.26%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -10.50%E -4.60%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 17:14
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 16:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 16:44
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -8.54%E -3.66%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:54
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:09
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 16:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 17:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 17:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -13.64%E -6.20%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 16:49
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -16.24%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 17:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 33.46%EV -9.96%E -3.73%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.71%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.83%EV -10.02%E -3.01%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 16:47
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 33.36%EV -9.96%E -3.73%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.24%EV -10.89%E -4.80%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -2.65%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -2.65%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 10:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 16:49
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -16.24%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-20 17:14
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.64%E -4.44%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 16:44
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.64%E -4.44%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 17:14
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.32%E -4.74%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -3.83%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 17:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.49%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.12%0.2%2026-09-20 17:14
Matchbook◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.03%0.5%2026-09-20 17:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.19%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-09-20 17:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.19%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-09-20 17:14
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-09-20 17:14
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-09-20 16:49