L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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KV Kortrijk v SK Beveren

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 17:16 UTC

Score final : KV Kortrijk 1–0 SK Beveren

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KV Kortrijk (Local)

Prévision 33.72%2.97cote équitable
EV +2.86%
Avantage +0.938%
Kelly +1.40%
Croissance +0.040%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.87%33.82%33.73%35.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.772.783.0538.46%36.12%35.97%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SK Beveren (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.26%2.55cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -0.906%
Kelly -1.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.67%39.15%39.24%42.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.162.332.352.4946.30%42.88%42.55%40.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.02%3.70cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -1.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.02%27.02%27.03%28.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.393.453.5532.26%29.50%28.99%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : KV Kortrijk (Local) : 33.72% ; SK Beveren (Visiteur) : 39.26% ; Match nul : 27.02%. Pour KV Kortrijk (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.97. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.05, soit une espérance positive de +2.86%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +2.86%E +0.938%K +1.40%G +0.040%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -12.46%E -5.59%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 17:14
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.63%EV +2.52%E +0.830%K +1.24%G +0.031%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.57%EV -6.97%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.79%EV -6.51%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 17:09
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV +1.17%E +0.391%K +0.587%G +0.007%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -13.64%E -6.20%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 17:14
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.38%EV -2.20%E -0.758%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.88%EV -2.26%E -0.906%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.74%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 17:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.06%EV -2.20%E -0.758%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.94%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 17:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.06%EV -2.20%E -0.758%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.94%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 17:14
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -2.20%E -0.758%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.85%EV -15.21%E -7.04%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 17:14
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -2.20%E -0.758%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.85%EV -15.21%E -7.04%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 17:14
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -3.89%E -1.36%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -3.89%E -1.36%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:49
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 17:13
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 17:10
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 17:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 17:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 17:14
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:09
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.33%EV -5.91%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.91%EV -6.18%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 17:09
Suprabets🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.19%EV -5.91%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.24%EV -7.36%E -3.12%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.56%EV -9.21%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 16:56
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -6.25%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 17:09
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -6.25%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -7.26%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.83%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 16:44
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.26%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.26%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -10.50%E -4.60%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 17:14
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 16:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 16:44
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -8.54%E -3.66%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:54
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:09
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 16:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 17:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 17:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -13.64%E -6.20%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 16:49
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -16.24%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 17:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 33.46%EV -9.96%E -3.73%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.71%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.83%EV -10.02%E -3.01%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 16:47
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 33.36%EV -9.96%E -3.73%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.24%EV -10.89%E -4.80%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -2.65%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -2.65%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 10:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 16:49
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -16.24%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-20 17:14
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.64%E -4.44%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 16:44
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.64%E -4.44%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 17:14
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.32%E -4.74%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -3.83%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 17:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.49%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.12%0.2%2026-09-20 17:14
Matchbook◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.03%0.5%2026-09-20 17:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.19%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-09-20 17:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.19%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-09-20 17:14
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-09-20 17:14
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-09-20 16:49