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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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KV Kortrijk v SK Beveren

Início: 2026-09-20 17:16 UTC

Final: KV Kortrijk 1–0 SK Beveren

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

KV Kortrijk (Local)

Previsão 33.72%2.97odd justa
EV +2.86%
Vantagem +0.938%
Kelly +1.40%
Crescimento +0.040%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.87%33.82%33.73%35.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.772.783.0538.46%36.12%35.97%32.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SK Beveren (Visitante)

Previsão 39.26%2.55odd justa
EV -2.26%
Vantagem -0.906%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.67%39.15%39.24%42.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.162.332.352.4946.30%42.88%42.55%40.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.02%3.70odd justa
EV -4.08%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -1.60%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.02%27.02%27.03%28.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.393.453.5532.26%29.50%28.99%28.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: KV Kortrijk (Local): 33.72%; SK Beveren (Visitante): 39.26%; Empate: 27.02%. Para KV Kortrijk (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.97. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.05, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.86%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +2.86%E +0.938%K +1.40%G +0.040%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -12.46%E -5.59%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 17:14
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.63%EV +2.52%E +0.830%K +1.24%G +0.031%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.57%EV -6.97%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.79%EV -6.51%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 17:09
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV +1.17%E +0.391%K +0.587%G +0.007%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -13.64%E -6.20%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 17:14
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.38%EV -2.20%E -0.758%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.88%EV -2.26%E -0.906%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.74%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 17:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.06%EV -2.20%E -0.758%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.94%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 17:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.06%EV -2.20%E -0.758%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.94%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 17:14
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -2.20%E -0.758%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.85%EV -15.21%E -7.04%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 17:14
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -2.20%E -0.758%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.85%EV -15.21%E -7.04%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 17:14
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -3.89%E -1.36%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -3.89%E -1.36%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:49
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 17:13
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 17:10
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 17:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 17:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 17:14
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:09
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.33%EV -5.91%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.91%EV -6.18%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 17:09
Suprabets🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.19%EV -5.91%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.24%EV -7.36%E -3.12%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.56%EV -9.21%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 16:56
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -6.25%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 17:09
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -6.25%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -7.26%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.83%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 16:44
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.26%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.26%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -10.50%E -4.60%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 17:14
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 16:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 16:44
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -8.54%E -3.66%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:54
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:09
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 16:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 17:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 17:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -13.64%E -6.20%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 16:49
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -16.24%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 17:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 33.46%EV -9.96%E -3.73%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.71%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.83%EV -10.02%E -3.01%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 16:47
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 33.36%EV -9.96%E -3.73%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.24%EV -10.89%E -4.80%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -2.65%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -2.65%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 10:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 16:49
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -16.24%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-20 17:14
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.64%E -4.44%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 16:44
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.64%E -4.44%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 17:14
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.32%E -4.74%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -3.83%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 17:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.49%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.12%0.2%2026-09-20 17:14
Matchbook◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.03%0.5%2026-09-20 17:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.19%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-09-20 17:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.19%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-09-20 17:14
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-09-20 17:14
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-09-20 16:49