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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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KV Kortrijk v SK Beveren

Inicio: 2026-09-20 17:16 UTC

Final: KV Kortrijk 1–0 SK Beveren

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

KV Kortrijk (Local)

Predicción 33.72%2.97momio equitativo
EV +2.86%
Ventaja +0.938%
Kelly +1.40%
Crecimiento +0.040%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.87%33.82%33.73%35.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.772.783.0538.46%36.12%35.97%32.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SK Beveren (Visitante)

Predicción 39.26%2.55momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -0.906%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.67%39.15%39.24%42.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.162.332.352.4946.30%42.88%42.55%40.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.02%3.70momio equitativo
EV -4.08%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.02%27.02%27.03%28.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.393.453.5532.26%29.50%28.99%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: KV Kortrijk (Local): 33.72%; SK Beveren (Visitante): 39.26%; Empate: 27.02%. Para KV Kortrijk (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.97. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.05, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.86%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +2.86%E +0.938%K +1.40%G +0.040%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -12.46%E -5.59%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 17:14
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.63%EV +2.52%E +0.830%K +1.24%G +0.031%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.57%EV -6.97%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.79%EV -6.51%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 17:09
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV +1.17%E +0.391%K +0.587%G +0.007%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -13.64%E -6.20%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 17:14
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.38%EV -2.20%E -0.758%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.88%EV -2.26%E -0.906%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.74%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 17:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.06%EV -2.20%E -0.758%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.94%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 17:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.06%EV -2.20%E -0.758%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.94%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 17:14
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -2.20%E -0.758%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.85%EV -15.21%E -7.04%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 17:14
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -2.20%E -0.758%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.85%EV -15.21%E -7.04%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 17:14
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -3.89%E -1.36%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -3.89%E -1.36%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:49
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 17:13
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 17:10
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 17:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 17:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.75%E -3.30%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 17:14
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:09
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -5.57%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.33%EV -5.91%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.91%EV -6.18%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 17:09
Suprabets🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.19%EV -5.91%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.24%EV -7.36%E -3.12%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.56%EV -9.21%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 16:56
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -6.25%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 17:09
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -6.25%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.08%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -7.26%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.83%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 16:44
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.26%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.26%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -10.50%E -4.60%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 17:14
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 16:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.79%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 16:44
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -8.54%E -3.66%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:54
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.48%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 17:09
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -13.53%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 16:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 17:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.83%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 17:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -13.64%E -6.20%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 16:49
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -8.94%E -3.31%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -16.24%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 17:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 33.46%EV -9.96%E -3.73%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.71%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.83%EV -10.02%E -3.01%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 16:47
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 33.36%EV -9.96%E -3.73%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.24%EV -10.89%E -4.80%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.18%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -2.65%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -2.65%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 10:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -5.43%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -6.78%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 16:49
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -10.63%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -9.71%E -4.22%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -16.24%E -5.24%K -7.73%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-20 17:14
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.64%E -4.44%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.57%E -2.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 16:44
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.64%E -4.44%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.68%E -5.19%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.13%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 17:14
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.32%E -4.74%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -3.83%E -1.56%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -4.08%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 17:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.49%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.12%0.2%2026-09-20 17:14
Matchbook◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.03%0.5%2026-09-20 17:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.19%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-09-20 17:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.19%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-09-20 17:14
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-09-20 17:14
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-09-20 16:49