Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Gent v KV Mechelen

Początek: 2026-08-09 11:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Gent 2–0 KV Mechelen

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

54 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Gent (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 49.20%2.03kurs godziwy
EV -1.60%
Przewaga -0.799%
Kelly -1.60%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.37%49.25%49.43%51.06%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.771.891.912.0056.50%52.80%52.36%50.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

KV Mechelen (Goście)

Prognoza 23.79%4.20kurs godziwy
EV +1.84%
Przewaga +0.430%
Kelly +0.562%
Wzrost +0.010%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.28

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.25%23.74%23.73%25.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.553.873.854.2828.17%25.82%25.97%23.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.00%3.70kurs godziwy
EV -2.24%
Przewaga -0.620%
Kelly -0.856%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.62

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.95%27.02%26.85%27.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.153.393.403.6231.75%29.51%29.41%27.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Gent (Gospodarze): 49.20%; KV Mechelen (Goście): 23.79%; Remis: 27.00%. Dla wyniku KV Mechelen (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.20. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.28, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.84%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.28%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.44%EV +1.84%E +0.430%K +0.562%G +0.010%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.94%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 11:25
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.35%EV -5.04%E -2.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.81%EV +1.37%E +0.321%K +0.419%G +0.006%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.84%EV -2.24%E -0.620%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-09 11:25
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -0.062%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -0.062%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -0.062%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -0.062%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:15
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.44%E -0.595%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 11:25
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.44%E -0.595%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 11:25
Suprabets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.55%EV -8.98%E -4.85%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -2.44%E -0.595%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.64%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 11:23
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -2.44%E -0.595%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 11:24
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -2.44%E -0.595%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -11.44%E -6.35%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.24%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -8.98%E -4.85%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 11:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.60%E -0.799%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.01%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.60%E -0.799%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.01%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 11:25
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 11:25
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 11:24
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 11:25
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.48%EV -9.47%E -5.15%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.53%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 11:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -11.44%E -6.35%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.59%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 11:15
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -11.44%E -6.35%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.59%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 11:15
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.64%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -8.39%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 11:25
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.01%EV -3.07%E -1.56%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -8.39%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:25
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:25
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 11:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 11:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.95%EV -12.91%E -7.30%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 11:20
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.32%EV -12.91%E -7.30%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.97%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.71%EV -14.94%E -4.74%K -6.95%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-09 11:20
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.04%E -2.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:25
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 11:10
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 11:19
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 11:24
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -11.96%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -12.24%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.96%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 11:09
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -13.15%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -13.15%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 11:24
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.03%EV -7.01%E -3.71%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -13.15%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.53%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.83%EV -8.49%E -4.56%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.47%EV -7.01%E -3.71%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -12.24%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 11:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.74%EV -9.47%E -5.15%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -15.53%E -4.37%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 11:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.37%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -15.53%E -4.37%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.59%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.37%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -15.53%E -4.37%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.59%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.37%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -15.53%E -4.37%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.59%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 11:25
BetUS🎯⚠ niewiarygodny3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV +91.88%E +23.56%K +31.68%G +29.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -54.55%E -28.56%K -59.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.99%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-08-09 11:25