Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Gent v KV Mechelen

Inizio: 2026-08-09 11:30 UTC

Finale: Gent 2–0 KV Mechelen

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

54 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Gent (Casa)

Previsione 49.20%2.03quota equa
EV -1.60%
Vantaggio -0.799%
Kelly -1.60%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%49.25%49.43%51.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.891.912.0056.50%52.80%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

KV Mechelen (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.79%4.20quota equa
EV +1.84%
Vantaggio +0.430%
Kelly +0.562%
Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.25%23.74%23.73%25.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.553.873.854.2828.17%25.82%25.97%23.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.00%3.70quota equa
EV -2.24%
Vantaggio -0.620%
Kelly -0.856%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.95%27.02%26.85%27.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.393.403.6231.75%29.51%29.41%27.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Gent (Casa): 49.20%; KV Mechelen (Trasferta): 23.79%; Pareggio: 27.00%. Per KV Mechelen (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.20. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.28, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.84%.

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.28%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.44%EV +1.84%E +0.430%K +0.562%G +0.010%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.94%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 11:25
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.35%EV -5.04%E -2.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.81%EV +1.37%E +0.321%K +0.419%G +0.006%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.84%EV -2.24%E -0.620%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-09 11:25
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -0.062%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -0.062%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -0.062%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -0.062%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:15
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.44%E -0.595%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 11:25
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.44%E -0.595%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 11:25
Suprabets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.55%EV -8.98%E -4.85%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -2.44%E -0.595%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.64%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 11:23
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -2.44%E -0.595%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 11:24
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -2.44%E -0.595%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -11.44%E -6.35%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.24%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -8.98%E -4.85%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -5.30%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 11:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.60%E -0.799%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.01%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.60%E -0.799%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.01%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 11:25
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 11:25
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 11:24
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 11:25
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.48%EV -9.47%E -5.15%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.53%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 11:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -11.44%E -6.35%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.59%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 11:15
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -11.44%E -6.35%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.59%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 11:15
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.64%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -8.39%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 11:25
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.01%EV -3.07%E -1.56%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -8.39%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:25
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:25
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 11:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 11:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.95%EV -12.91%E -7.30%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 11:20
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.32%EV -12.91%E -7.30%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.97%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.71%EV -14.94%E -4.74%K -6.95%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-09 11:20
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.04%E -2.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:25
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 11:10
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.03%E -3.16%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 11:19
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 11:24
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -11.96%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -12.24%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.96%E -5.44%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.96%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 11:09
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -13.15%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -13.15%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 11:24
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.03%EV -7.01%E -3.71%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -13.15%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.53%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.83%EV -8.49%E -4.56%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.47%EV -7.01%E -3.71%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -12.24%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 11:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.74%EV -9.47%E -5.15%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -15.53%E -4.37%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 11:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.37%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -15.53%E -4.37%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.59%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.37%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -15.53%E -4.37%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.59%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.37%EV -7.99%E -4.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -15.53%E -4.37%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.59%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 11:25
BetUS🎯⚠ implausibile3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV +91.88%E +23.56%K +31.68%G +29.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -54.55%E -28.56%K -59.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.99%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-08-09 11:25