La scuola delle quote

Gent v KV Mechelen

2026-08-09 11:30 UTC — Belgium First Div

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36 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Gent (Casa)

Previsione 44.25%2.26quota equa
EV -4.85%
Vantaggio -2.26%
Kelly -4.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.85%44.31%44.25%46.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.062.102.1552.63%48.43%47.62%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

KV Mechelen (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.18%3.55quota equa
EV -1.38%
Vantaggio -0.394%
Kelly -0.551%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.67%28.11%28.15%29.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.213.203.5034.48%31.17%31.25%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.57%3.63quota equa
EV -2.96%
Vantaggio -0.840%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.67%27.59%27.60%29.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.233.153.5233.33%31.01%31.75%28.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.96%E -0.840%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 12:35
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-14 20:40
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 14:18
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 14:20
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 14:20
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.43%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -7.58%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 12:25
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 14:04
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 14:00
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 14:00
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 13:40
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 18:24
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:35
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:39
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:39
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:40
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:40
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:40
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:40
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:40
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:40
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:50
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 22:38
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 23:55
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -7.95%E -3.82%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 14:04
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.49%E -5.75%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.38%E -0.394%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-15 09:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -11.49%E -5.75%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 14:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -11.49%E -5.75%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 14:20
SportsBet1.99I 50.25%NM 44.75%EV -11.94%E -6.00%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-24 14:19
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -12.38%E -6.25%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -13.16%E -4.18%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 11:33
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -12.38%E -6.25%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -13.16%E -4.18%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 11:35
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.09%EV -12.38%E -6.25%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -14.06%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-24 14:04
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%EV -13.71%E -7.03%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-24 14:19
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 43.64%EV -15.03%E -7.83%K -16.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.89%EV -18.28%E -6.31%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.47%EV -15.92%E -5.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%19.4%2026-07-24 14:05
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 44.12%EV -15.92%E -8.38%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -17.29%E -5.76%K -8.65%G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-24 12:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 43.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.45%17.2%2026-07-24 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.84%166.1%2026-07-22 08:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.84%166.1%2026-07-22 08:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.84%166.1%2026-07-22 08:05