L’École des cotes

Gent v KV Mechelen

2026-08-09 11:30 UTC — Belgium First Div

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gent (Local)

Prévision 44.25%2.26cote équitable
EV -4.85%
Avantage -2.26%
Kelly -4.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.85%44.31%44.25%46.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.062.102.1552.63%48.43%47.62%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

KV Mechelen (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.18%3.55cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.394%
Kelly -0.551%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.67%28.11%28.15%29.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.213.203.5034.48%31.17%31.25%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.57%3.63cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -0.840%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.67%27.59%27.60%29.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.233.153.5233.33%31.01%31.75%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.96%E -0.840%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 12:35
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-14 20:40
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 14:18
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 14:20
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.01%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 14:20
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.43%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -7.58%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 12:25
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 14:04
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 14:00
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 14:00
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 13:40
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 18:24
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:35
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:39
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:39
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:40
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:40
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:40
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:40
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:40
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:40
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:50
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 22:38
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -7.07%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 23:55
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -7.95%E -3.82%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 14:04
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.49%E -5.75%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.38%E -0.394%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-15 09:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -11.49%E -5.75%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 14:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -11.49%E -5.75%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 14:20
SportsBet1.99I 50.25%NM 44.75%EV -11.94%E -6.00%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-24 14:19
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -12.38%E -6.25%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -13.16%E -4.18%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 11:33
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -12.38%E -6.25%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -13.16%E -4.18%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 11:35
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.09%EV -12.38%E -6.25%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -14.06%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-24 14:04
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%EV -13.71%E -7.03%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-24 14:19
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 43.64%EV -15.03%E -7.83%K -16.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.89%EV -18.28%E -6.31%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.47%EV -15.92%E -5.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%19.4%2026-07-24 14:05
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 44.12%EV -15.92%E -8.38%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -17.29%E -5.76%K -8.65%G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-24 12:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 43.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.45%17.2%2026-07-24 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.84%166.1%2026-07-22 08:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.84%166.1%2026-07-22 08:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.84%166.1%2026-07-22 08:05