Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 3.75
assuming max odds 3.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gent (Local): 45.36%; KV Mechelen (Visit): 28.28%; Draw: 26.36%. For KV Mechelen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.03%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.62%EV -7.46%E -3.66%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.91%EV +6.03%E +1.61%K +2.19%G +0.132% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.47%EV -3.26%E -0.887%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV +0.661%E +0.186%K +0.258%G +0.002% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -6.55%E -3.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -1.04%E -0.296%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 14:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -6.55%E -3.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -1.04%E -0.296%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -10.63%E -5.40%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.04%E -0.296%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 14:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.62%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.77%EV -2.45%E -0.710%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 14:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.62%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.77%EV -2.45%E -0.710%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 14:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.65%EV -2.45%E -0.710%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.65%EV -2.45%E -0.710%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.94%EV -7.91%E -3.90%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -2.73%E -0.794%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -8.79%E -2.54%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.43%EV -6.55%E -3.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.44%EV -3.58%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 14:41 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 14:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 14:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 14:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 14:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 14:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 14:33 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 14:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.46%E -0.666%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 14:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 14:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.54%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-08 14:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 14:53 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -10.63%E -5.40%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -10.63%E -5.40%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -14.33%E -4.41%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.52%E -2.97%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -13.36%E -6.99%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.52%E -2.97%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-08 14:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -11.54%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -9.52%E -2.97%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -15.65%E -4.89%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.05%EV -10.18%E -5.14%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 14:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.82%EV -12.90%E -6.72%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-08 14:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -12.45%E -6.45%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-08 14:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.67%EV -11.09%E -5.66%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.19%EV -15.17%E -5.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.48%EV -13.36%E -6.99%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.84%EV -18.57%E -6.45%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.68%EV -20.92%E -6.97%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.66% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22% | 2.1% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 14:34 |