L’École des cotes

Gent v KV Mechelen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gent (Local)

Prévision 45.36%2.20cote équitable
EV -4.74%
Avantage -2.26%
Kelly -4.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.48%45.48%45.27%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.042.052.1052.36%49.11%48.78%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

KV Mechelen (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.28%3.54cote équitable
EV +6.03%
Avantage +1.61%
Kelly +2.19%
Croissance +0.132%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.91%28.19%28.35%29.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.303.303.7534.72%30.28%30.30%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.36%3.79cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -0.666%
Kelly -0.913%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.47%26.33%26.38%27.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.493.503.7033.33%28.64%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.62%EV -7.46%E -3.66%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.91%EV +6.03%E +1.61%K +2.19%G +0.132%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.47%EV -3.26%E -0.887%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 14:55
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV +0.661%E +0.186%K +0.258%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 14:50
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -6.55%E -3.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -1.04%E -0.296%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 14:34
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -6.55%E -3.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -1.04%E -0.296%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 14:35
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -10.63%E -5.40%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.04%E -0.296%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 14:49
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.62%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.77%EV -2.45%E -0.710%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 14:09
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.62%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.77%EV -2.45%E -0.710%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 14:09
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.65%EV -2.45%E -0.710%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 14:54
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.65%EV -2.45%E -0.710%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 14:54
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.94%EV -7.91%E -3.90%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -2.73%E -0.794%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -8.79%E -2.54%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 14:55
Suprabets2.06I 48.54%NM 45.43%EV -6.55%E -3.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.44%EV -3.58%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 14:41
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 14:35
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 14:55
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 14:55
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 14:55
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 14:40
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 14:09
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 14:39
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 14:40
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 14:39
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 14:54
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 14:55
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 14:54
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 14:35
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 14:33
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 14:34
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.46%E -0.666%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 14:34
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 14:34
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 14:35
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 14:55
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.54%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 14:34
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 14:55
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 14:55
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 14:53
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -10.63%E -5.40%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 14:55
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -10.63%E -5.40%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 14:54
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -14.33%E -4.41%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-08 14:35
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.52%E -2.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 14:54
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -13.36%E -6.99%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.52%E -2.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 14:34
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -11.54%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -9.52%E -2.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -15.65%E -4.89%K -7.11%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-08 14:35
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 14:35
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 14:54
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.05%EV -10.18%E -5.14%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 14:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.82%EV -12.90%E -6.72%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-08 14:39
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -12.45%E -6.45%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-08 14:39
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 14:54
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 14:54
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 14:55
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 14:54
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.67%EV -11.09%E -5.66%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.19%EV -15.17%E -5.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-08 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.48%EV -13.36%E -6.99%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.84%EV -18.57%E -6.45%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.68%EV -20.92%E -6.97%K -10.46%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-08 14:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-03-08 14:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-03-08 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-03-08 14:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-03-08 14:55
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.66%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22%2.1%2026-03-08 14:55
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%3.0%2026-03-08 14:34