La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Gent v KV Mechelen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gent (Local)
Predicción 45.36%2.20momio equitativo
EV -4.74%
Ventaja -2.26%
Kelly -4.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.48%45.48%45.27%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.042.052.1052.36%49.11%48.78%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
KV Mechelen (Visitante)
Predicción 28.28%3.54momio equitativo
EV +6.03%
Ventaja +1.61%
Kelly +2.19%
Crecimiento +0.132%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.91%28.19%28.35%29.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.303.303.7534.72%30.28%30.30%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.36%3.79momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -0.666%
Kelly -0.913%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.47%26.33%26.38%27.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.493.503.7033.33%28.64%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.62%EV -7.46%E -3.66%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.91%EV +6.03%E +1.61%K +2.19%G +0.132% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.47%EV -3.26%E -0.887%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV +0.661%E +0.186%K +0.258%G +0.002% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -6.55%E -3.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -1.04%E -0.296%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 14:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -6.55%E -3.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -1.04%E -0.296%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -10.63%E -5.40%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.04%E -0.296%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 14:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.62%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.77%EV -2.45%E -0.710%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 14:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.62%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.77%EV -2.45%E -0.710%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 14:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.65%EV -2.45%E -0.710%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.65%EV -2.45%E -0.710%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.94%EV -7.91%E -3.90%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -2.73%E -0.794%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -8.79%E -2.54%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Suprabets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.43%EV -6.55%E -3.18%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.44%EV -3.58%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 14:41 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Casumo | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| betPARX | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 14:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 14:09 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 14:39 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 14:40 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 14:39 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 14:33 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 14:34 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.46%E -0.666%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 14:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 14:34 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.54%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-08 14:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 14:53 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -10.63%E -5.40%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -10.63%E -5.40%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -14.33%E -4.41%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.52%E -2.97%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -13.36%E -6.99%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.52%E -2.97%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-08 14:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -11.54%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -9.52%E -2.97%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -15.65%E -4.89%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.05%EV -10.18%E -5.14%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 14:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.82%EV -12.90%E -6.72%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-08 14:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -12.45%E -6.45%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-08 14:39 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.67%EV -11.09%E -5.66%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.19%EV -15.17%E -5.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.48%EV -13.36%E -6.99%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.84%EV -18.57%E -6.45%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.68%EV -20.92%E -6.97%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.66% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22% | 2.1% | 2026-03-08 14:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 14:34 |