مدرسة الاحتمالات

Gent v KV Mechelen

البداية: 2026-03-08 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Gent (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.36%2.20السعر العادل
EV -4.74%
الأفضلية -2.26%
Kelly -4.31%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.48%45.48%45.27%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.042.052.1052.36%49.11%48.78%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

KV Mechelen (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.28%3.54السعر العادل
EV +6.03%
الأفضلية +1.61%
Kelly +2.19%
النمو +0.132%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.91%28.19%28.35%29.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.303.303.7534.72%30.28%30.30%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.36%3.79السعر العادل
EV -2.46%
الأفضلية -0.666%
Kelly -0.913%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.47%26.33%26.38%27.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.493.503.7033.33%28.64%28.57%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.62%EV -7.46%E -3.66%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.91%EV +6.03%E +1.61%K +2.19%G +0.132%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.47%EV -3.26%E -0.887%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 14:55
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.01%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV +0.661%E +0.186%K +0.258%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 14:50
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -6.55%E -3.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -1.04%E -0.296%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 14:34
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -6.55%E -3.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -1.04%E -0.296%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 14:35
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -10.63%E -5.40%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.04%E -0.296%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 14:49
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.62%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.77%EV -2.45%E -0.710%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 14:09
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.62%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.77%EV -2.45%E -0.710%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 14:09
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.65%EV -2.45%E -0.710%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 14:54
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.65%EV -2.45%E -0.710%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 14:54
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.94%EV -7.91%E -3.90%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -2.73%E -0.794%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -8.79%E -2.54%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 14:55
Suprabets2.06I 48.54%NM 45.43%EV -6.55%E -3.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.44%EV -3.58%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 14:41
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 14:35
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 14:55
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 14:55
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 14:55
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.86%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 14:40
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 14:09
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 14:39
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 14:40
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 14:39
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 14:54
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 14:55
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 14:54
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 14:35
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 14:33
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 14:34
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.46%E -0.666%K -0.913%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 14:34
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 14:34
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 14:35
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 14:55
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.54%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 14:34
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 14:55
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 14:55
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 14:53
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -10.63%E -5.40%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 14:55
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -10.63%E -5.40%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 14:54
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -14.33%E -4.41%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-08 14:35
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.52%E -2.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 14:54
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -13.36%E -6.99%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.52%E -2.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 14:34
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -11.54%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -9.52%E -2.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -15.65%E -4.89%K -7.11%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-08 14:35
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 14:35
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -8.37%E -4.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 14:54
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.05%EV -10.18%E -5.14%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 14:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.82%EV -12.90%E -6.72%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-08 14:39
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -12.45%E -6.45%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -13.01%E -3.94%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-08 14:39
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 14:54
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 14:54
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 14:55
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.74%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 14:54
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.67%EV -11.09%E -5.66%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.19%EV -15.17%E -5.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -11.69%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-08 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.48%EV -13.36%E -6.99%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.84%EV -18.57%E -6.45%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.68%EV -20.92%E -6.97%K -10.46%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-08 14:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-03-08 14:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-03-08 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-03-08 14:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-03-08 14:55
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.66%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.22%2.1%2026-03-08 14:55
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%3.0%2026-03-08 14:34