Language:English
Dender v Sint Truiden
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dender (Local)
Prediction 28.15%3.55fair odd
EV +2.46%
Edge +0.676%
Kelly +0.932%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 3.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.66%28.06%28.25%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.343.353.6433.33%29.93%29.85%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sint Truiden (Visit)
Prediction 44.91%2.23fair odd
EV -4.79%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -4.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.81%44.99%44.91%46.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.052.052.1252.36%48.82%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.94%3.71fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.455%
Kelly -0.627%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.90%26.95%26.84%29.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.443.503.6534.72%29.08%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dender (Local): 28.15%; Sint Truiden (Visit): 44.91%; Draw: 26.94%. For Dender (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.66%EV +2.46%E +0.676%K +0.932%G +0.023% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.77%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.05%EV +0.490%E +0.137%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.42%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.53%EV -1.93%E -0.530%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -0.073%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV -1.66%E -0.455%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -0.073%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV -1.66%E -0.455%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.01%E -0.836%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.01%E -0.836%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.37%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.97%EV -8.83%E -4.35%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 14:36 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 09:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 14:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 14:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -11.53%E -5.85%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -5.24%E -2.48%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -8.94%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -12.88%E -6.64%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -12.88%E -6.64%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.79%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -13.79%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.98%EV -11.08%E -5.60%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.75%EV -10.28%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-21 14:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.00%EV -11.53%E -5.85%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -13.32%E -6.90%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.29%EV -12.43%E -6.37%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -16.48%E -5.32%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -14.22%E -7.45%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -22.41%E -7.78%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -11.08%E -5.60%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.32% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.09% | 0.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |