مدرسة الاحتمالات

Dender v Sint Truiden

البداية: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Dender (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.15%3.55السعر العادل
EV +2.46%
الأفضلية +0.676%
Kelly +0.932%
النمو +0.023%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.64

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.66%28.06%28.25%29.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.343.353.6433.33%29.93%29.85%27.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sint Truiden (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.91%2.23السعر العادل
EV -4.79%
الأفضلية -2.26%
Kelly -4.28%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.81%44.99%44.91%46.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.052.052.1252.36%48.82%48.78%47.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.94%3.71السعر العادل
EV -1.66%
الأفضلية -0.455%
Kelly -0.627%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.90%26.95%26.84%29.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.443.503.6534.72%29.08%28.57%27.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.64I 27.47%NM 26.66%EV +2.46%E +0.676%K +0.932%G +0.023%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.77%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Pinnacle3.57I 28.01%NM 27.05%EV +0.490%E +0.137%K +0.191%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.42%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.53%EV -1.93%E -0.530%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 14:45
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -0.073%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV -1.66%E -0.455%K -0.627%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -0.073%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV -1.66%E -0.455%K -0.627%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 14:55
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:55
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.01%E -0.836%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.01%E -0.836%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:45
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:55
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:55
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:55
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:55
Suprabets3.41I 29.33%NM 27.37%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.97%EV -8.83%E -4.35%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:36
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:50
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:50
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:55
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 09:04
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:53
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:54
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -11.53%E -5.85%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:50
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:55
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -5.24%E -2.48%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -8.94%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -12.88%E -6.64%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -12.88%E -6.64%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.79%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -13.79%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 14:55
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Betclic (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.98%EV -11.08%E -5.60%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.75%EV -10.28%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 14:54
Parions Sport (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.00%EV -11.53%E -5.85%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-21 14:55
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -13.32%E -6.90%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 14:55
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 14:55
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.29%EV -12.43%E -6.37%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -16.48%E -5.32%K -7.85%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -14.22%E -7.45%K -15.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -22.41%E -7.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -11.08%E -5.60%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-21 14:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.09%0.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-02-21 14:55