L’École des cotes

Dender v Sint Truiden

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dender (Local)

Prévision 28.15%3.55cote équitable
EV +2.46%
Avantage +0.676%
Kelly +0.932%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 3.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.66%28.06%28.25%29.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.343.353.6433.33%29.93%29.85%27.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sint Truiden (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.91%2.23cote équitable
EV -4.79%
Avantage -2.26%
Kelly -4.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.81%44.99%44.91%46.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.052.052.1252.36%48.82%48.78%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.94%3.71cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.455%
Kelly -0.627%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.90%26.95%26.84%29.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.443.503.6534.72%29.08%28.57%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.64I 27.47%NM 26.66%EV +2.46%E +0.676%K +0.932%G +0.023%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.77%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Pinnacle3.57I 28.01%NM 27.05%EV +0.490%E +0.137%K +0.191%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.42%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.53%EV -1.93%E -0.530%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 14:45
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -0.073%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV -1.66%E -0.455%K -0.627%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -0.073%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV -1.66%E -0.455%K -0.627%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 14:55
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:55
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.01%E -0.836%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.01%E -0.836%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:45
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:55
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:55
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:55
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:55
Suprabets3.41I 29.33%NM 27.37%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.97%EV -8.83%E -4.35%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:36
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:50
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:50
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:55
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 09:04
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:53
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:54
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -11.53%E -5.85%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:50
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:55
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -5.24%E -2.48%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -8.94%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -12.88%E -6.64%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -12.88%E -6.64%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.79%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -13.79%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 14:55
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Betclic (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.98%EV -11.08%E -5.60%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.75%EV -10.28%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 14:54
Parions Sport (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.00%EV -11.53%E -5.85%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-21 14:55
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -13.32%E -6.90%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 14:55
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 14:55
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.29%EV -12.43%E -6.37%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -16.48%E -5.32%K -7.85%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -14.22%E -7.45%K -15.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -22.41%E -7.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -11.08%E -5.60%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.09%0.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-02-21 14:55