La escuela de los momios

Dender v Sint Truiden

Inicio: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dender (Local)

Predicción 28.15%3.55momio equitativo
EV +2.46%
Ventaja +0.676%
Kelly +0.932%
Crecimiento +0.023%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.66%28.06%28.25%29.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.343.353.6433.33%29.93%29.85%27.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sint Truiden (Visitante)

Predicción 44.91%2.23momio equitativo
EV -4.79%
Ventaja -2.26%
Kelly -4.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.81%44.99%44.91%46.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.052.052.1252.36%48.82%48.78%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.94%3.71momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.455%
Kelly -0.627%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.90%26.95%26.84%29.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.443.503.6534.72%29.08%28.57%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.64I 27.47%NM 26.66%EV +2.46%E +0.676%K +0.932%G +0.023%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.77%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.16%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Pinnacle3.57I 28.01%NM 27.05%EV +0.490%E +0.137%K +0.191%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.42%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.53%EV -1.93%E -0.530%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 14:45
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -0.073%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV -1.66%E -0.455%K -0.627%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -0.073%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV -1.66%E -0.455%K -0.627%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 14:55
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:55
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.01%E -0.836%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.01%E -0.836%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:45
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:55
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:55
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:55
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:55
Suprabets3.41I 29.33%NM 27.37%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.97%EV -8.83%E -4.35%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:36
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:50
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:50
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:55
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 09:04
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:53
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:54
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -11.53%E -5.85%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:50
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:55
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -5.24%E -2.48%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -8.94%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -12.88%E -6.64%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -12.88%E -6.64%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.79%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -13.79%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 14:55
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Betclic (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.98%EV -11.08%E -5.60%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.75%EV -10.28%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 14:54
Parions Sport (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.00%EV -11.53%E -5.85%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-21 14:55
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -13.32%E -6.90%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 14:55
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 14:55
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.29%EV -12.43%E -6.37%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -16.48%E -5.32%K -7.85%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -14.22%E -7.45%K -15.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -22.41%E -7.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -11.08%E -5.60%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.09%0.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-02-21 14:55