Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Club Brugge v Genk

2026-09-20 16:30 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Club Brugge (Local)

Prediction 62.43%1.60fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -3.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.80%62.40%62.48%64.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.491.501.5772.46%67.09%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Genk (Visit)

Prediction 17.32%5.77fair odd
EV +9.14%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +1.72%
Growth +0.158%

assuming max odds 6.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.88%17.23%17.38%18.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.245.206.3021.74%19.08%19.23%15.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.24%4.94fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.292%
Kelly -0.367%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.46%20.37%20.14%21.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.464.404.8724.39%22.42%22.73%20.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Club Brugge (Local): 62.43%; Genk (Visit): 17.32%; Draw: 20.24%. For Genk (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.77. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.30, producing a positive expected value of +9.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -7.60%E -5.13%K -15.83%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.88%EV +9.14%E +1.45%K +1.72%G +0.158%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -12.96%E -3.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 19:10
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -7.60%E -5.13%K -15.83%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.88%EV +9.14%E +1.45%K +1.72%G +0.158%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -12.96%E -3.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 19:10
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.79%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.56%EV +0.130%E +0.022%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.65%EV -1.42%E -0.292%K -0.367%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 19:16
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -7.60%E -5.13%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -0.390%E -0.068%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -4.86%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.89%EV -8.22%E -5.59%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -0.390%E -0.068%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -3.85%E -0.811%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 17:45
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.50%EV -6.97%E -4.68%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.75%EV -2.12%E -0.376%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.75%EV -3.04%E -0.635%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.87%EV -8.85%E -6.06%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.50%EV -2.12%E -0.376%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -3.85%E -0.811%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:10
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -3.85%E -0.811%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -8.22%E -5.59%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -2.84%E -0.591%K -0.747%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -8.22%E -5.59%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.89%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:50
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.09%E -7.01%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -12.59%E -8.99%K -31.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -6.89%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -12.59%E -8.99%K -31.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.27%EV -1.98%E -1.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -6.45%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.91%EV -6.89%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:11
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.27%EV -1.98%E -1.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -6.45%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.91%EV -6.89%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:10
Suprabets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.66%EV -7.60%E -5.13%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -6.45%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -6.89%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.73%EV -13.84%E -10.03%K -36.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -6.45%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.99%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-13 17:45
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV -2.84%E -0.591%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 17:50
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.98%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -3.85%E -0.811%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 17:50
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.99%EV -3.23%E -2.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -6.89%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -9.92%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 17:50
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 17:11
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 17:11
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 17:10
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 19:10
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 17:50
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 17:50
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -12.59%E -8.99%K -31.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-13 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.37%EV -10.72%E -7.50%K -24.93%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.73%EV -14.25%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.90%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 17:50
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -15.12%E -3.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.12%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -15.12%E -3.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -13.97%E -3.29%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 17:11
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.96%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -15.12%E -3.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 17:11
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.96%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -15.12%E -3.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 17:11
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.85%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 17:11
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.85%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 17:11
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.85%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.73%EV -10.72%E -7.50%K -24.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.09%EV -16.85%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.18%EV -17.01%E -4.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-13 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.93%EV -10.09%E -7.01%K -22.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.67%EV -18.58%E -3.95%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -12.96%E -3.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.56%EV -10.72%E -7.50%K -24.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.83%EV -20.31%E -4.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-13 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%13.8%2026-09-13 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-13 16:55