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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Club Brugge v Genk

Inicio: 2026-09-20 16:30 UTC

Final: Club Brugge 3–0 Genk

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Club Brugge (Local)

Predicción 63.01%1.59momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -1.92%
Kelly -5.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.74%62.91%62.95%64.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.471.471.5472.46%67.97%68.03%64.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Genk (Visitante)

Predicción 16.83%5.94momio equitativo
EV +2.97%
Ventaja +0.486%
Kelly +0.580%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.77%16.86%16.96%18.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.475.506.1220.00%18.29%18.18%16.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 20.16%4.96momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.244%
Kelly -0.306%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.22%20.23%20.09%21.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.564.504.9023.81%21.95%22.22%20.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Club Brugge (Local): 63.01%; Genk (Visitante): 16.83%; Empate: 20.16%. Para Genk (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.94. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.12, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.97%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.36%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.77%EV +2.97%E +0.486%K +0.580%G +0.017%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.86%EV -2.00%E -0.412%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 16:20
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.24%EV -2.96%E -1.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.87%EV +1.63%E +0.269%K +0.322%G +0.005%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.89%EV -11.68%E -2.67%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 16:24
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.91%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.53%EV -2.41%E -0.416%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.56%EV -1.19%E -0.244%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 16:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.91%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.53%EV -2.41%E -0.416%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.56%EV -1.19%E -0.244%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 16:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.91%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.53%EV -2.41%E -0.416%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.56%EV -1.19%E -0.244%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 16:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -2.41%E -0.416%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.21%E -0.669%K -0.845%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:09
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -2.41%E -0.416%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -13.29%E -3.09%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:09
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -2.41%E -0.416%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -13.29%E -3.09%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:09
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 16:24
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.29%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -6.74%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 16:15
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.89%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 16:15
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -11.28%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 16:29
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 16:27
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 16:27
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.30%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.47%EV -4.94%E -0.874%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 16:24
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -6.11%E -4.10%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -5.78%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 16:29
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.78%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.78%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.78%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:29
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.78%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:29
Suprabets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.37%EV -8.01%E -5.48%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.52%EV -5.78%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 16:15
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -3.59%E -2.35%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -7.46%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:09
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -3.59%E -2.35%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -7.46%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -6.74%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -7.46%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.46%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 16:14
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.46%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:14
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -7.46%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -11.28%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.14%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.14%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:24
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.14%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:24
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.43%EV -13.05%E -9.45%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.21%EV -9.14%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.36%EV -13.29%E -3.09%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-20 16:19
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.83%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -10.83%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 16:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.83%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -10.83%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 16:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.84%EV -10.83%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -3.59%E -2.35%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 16:09
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 16:29
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 16:21
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.74%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -15.31%E -3.65%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -11.28%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 16:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -11.28%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 16:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -11.28%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 16:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.91%EV -10.53%E -7.41%K -25.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.02%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -10.27%E -2.31%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 16:14
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.89%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.77%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -12.69%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-20 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -4.22%E -2.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -12.51%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.90%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.02%EV -12.51%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -15.31%E -3.65%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-20 16:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.78%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -14.19%E -2.78%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:14
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -15.87%E -3.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -12.69%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:09
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -15.87%E -3.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -12.69%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -15.87%E -3.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -12.69%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -15.87%E -3.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -12.69%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -15.87%E -3.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 16:13
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.87%E -3.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 16:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-09-20 16:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-09-20 16:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.12%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%1.0%2026-09-20 16:30
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.73%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%1.4%2026-09-20 16:29
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-09-20 16:14
Smarkets◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.02%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64%1.9%2026-09-20 16:20