Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Club Brugge v Genk

2026-09-20 16:30 UTC — Belgium First Div

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Club Brugge (Local)

Predicción 62.43%1.60momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -3.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.80%62.40%62.48%64.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.491.501.5772.46%67.09%66.67%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Genk (Visitante)

Predicción 17.32%5.77momio equitativo
EV +9.14%
Ventaja +1.45%
Kelly +1.72%
Crecimiento +0.158%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.88%17.23%17.38%18.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.245.206.3021.74%19.08%19.23%15.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 20.24%4.94momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.292%
Kelly -0.367%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.46%20.37%20.14%21.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.104.464.404.8724.39%22.42%22.73%20.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Club Brugge (Local): 62.43%; Genk (Visitante): 17.32%; Empate: 20.24%. Para Genk (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.77. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.30, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +9.14%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -7.60%E -5.13%K -15.83%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.88%EV +9.14%E +1.45%K +1.72%G +0.158%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -12.96%E -3.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 19:10
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -7.60%E -5.13%K -15.83%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.88%EV +9.14%E +1.45%K +1.72%G +0.158%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -12.96%E -3.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 19:10
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.79%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.56%EV +0.130%E +0.022%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.65%EV -1.42%E -0.292%K -0.367%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 19:16
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -7.60%E -5.13%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -0.390%E -0.068%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -4.86%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.89%EV -8.22%E -5.59%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -0.390%E -0.068%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -3.85%E -0.811%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 17:45
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.50%EV -6.97%E -4.68%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.75%EV -2.12%E -0.376%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.75%EV -3.04%E -0.635%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.87%EV -8.85%E -6.06%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.50%EV -2.12%E -0.376%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -3.85%E -0.811%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:10
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -3.85%E -0.811%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -8.22%E -5.59%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -2.84%E -0.591%K -0.747%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -8.22%E -5.59%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.89%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:50
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.09%E -7.01%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -12.59%E -8.99%K -31.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -6.89%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -12.59%E -8.99%K -31.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.27%EV -1.98%E -1.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -6.45%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.91%EV -6.89%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:11
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.27%EV -1.98%E -1.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -6.45%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.91%EV -6.89%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:10
Suprabets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.66%EV -7.60%E -5.13%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -6.45%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -6.89%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.73%EV -13.84%E -10.03%K -36.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -6.45%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.99%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-13 17:45
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV -2.84%E -0.591%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 17:50
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.98%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -3.85%E -0.811%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 17:50
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.99%EV -3.23%E -2.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -6.89%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -9.92%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 17:50
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 17:11
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 17:11
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 17:10
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 19:10
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 17:50
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 17:50
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -12.59%E -8.99%K -31.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-13 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.37%EV -10.72%E -7.50%K -24.93%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.73%EV -14.25%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.90%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 17:50
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -15.12%E -3.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.12%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -15.12%E -3.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -13.97%E -3.29%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 17:11
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.96%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -15.12%E -3.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 17:11
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.96%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -15.12%E -3.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 17:11
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.85%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 17:11
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.85%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 17:11
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.85%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.73%EV -10.72%E -7.50%K -24.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.09%EV -16.85%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.18%EV -17.01%E -4.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-13 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.93%EV -10.09%E -7.01%K -22.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.67%EV -18.58%E -3.95%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -12.96%E -3.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.56%EV -10.72%E -7.50%K -24.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.83%EV -20.31%E -4.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-13 17:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%13.8%2026-09-13 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-13 16:55