L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Club Brugge v Genk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 16:30 UTC

Score final : Club Brugge 3–0 Genk

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Club Brugge (Local)

Prévision 63.01%1.59cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -1.92%
Kelly -5.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.74%62.91%62.95%64.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.471.471.5472.46%67.97%68.03%64.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Genk (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.83%5.94cote équitable
EV +2.97%
Avantage +0.486%
Kelly +0.580%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 6.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.77%16.86%16.96%18.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.475.506.1220.00%18.29%18.18%16.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.16%4.96cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.244%
Kelly -0.306%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.22%20.23%20.09%21.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.564.504.9023.81%21.95%22.22%20.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Club Brugge (Local) : 63.01% ; Genk (Visiteur) : 16.83% ; Match nul : 20.16%. Pour Genk (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.94. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.12, soit une espérance positive de +2.97%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.36%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.77%EV +2.97%E +0.486%K +0.580%G +0.017%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.86%EV -2.00%E -0.412%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 16:20
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.24%EV -2.96%E -1.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.87%EV +1.63%E +0.269%K +0.322%G +0.005%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.89%EV -11.68%E -2.67%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 16:24
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.91%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.53%EV -2.41%E -0.416%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.56%EV -1.19%E -0.244%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 16:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.91%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.53%EV -2.41%E -0.416%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.56%EV -1.19%E -0.244%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 16:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.91%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.53%EV -2.41%E -0.416%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.56%EV -1.19%E -0.244%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 16:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -2.41%E -0.416%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.21%E -0.669%K -0.845%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:09
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -2.41%E -0.416%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -13.29%E -3.09%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:09
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -2.41%E -0.416%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -13.29%E -3.09%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:09
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 16:24
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.29%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -6.74%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 16:15
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.89%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 16:15
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -11.28%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 16:29
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 16:27
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 16:27
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.30%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.47%EV -4.94%E -0.874%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 16:24
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -6.11%E -4.10%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -5.78%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 16:29
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.78%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.78%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.78%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:29
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.78%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:29
Suprabets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.37%EV -8.01%E -5.48%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.52%EV -5.78%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 16:15
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -3.59%E -2.35%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -7.46%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:09
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -3.59%E -2.35%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -7.46%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -6.74%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -7.46%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.46%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 16:14
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.46%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:14
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -7.46%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -11.28%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.14%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.14%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:24
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.14%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:24
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.43%EV -13.05%E -9.45%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.21%EV -9.14%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.36%EV -13.29%E -3.09%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-20 16:19
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.83%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -10.83%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 16:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.83%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -10.83%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 16:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.84%EV -10.83%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -3.59%E -2.35%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 16:09
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 16:29
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 16:21
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.74%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -15.31%E -3.65%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -11.28%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 16:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -11.28%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 16:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -11.28%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 16:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.91%EV -10.53%E -7.41%K -25.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.02%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -10.27%E -2.31%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 16:14
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.89%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.77%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -12.69%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-20 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -4.22%E -2.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -12.51%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.90%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.02%EV -12.51%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -15.31%E -3.65%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-20 16:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.78%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -14.19%E -2.78%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:14
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -15.87%E -3.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -12.69%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:09
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -15.87%E -3.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -12.69%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -15.87%E -3.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -12.69%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -15.87%E -3.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -12.69%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -15.87%E -3.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 16:13
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.87%E -3.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 16:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-09-20 16:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-09-20 16:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.12%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%1.0%2026-09-20 16:30
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.73%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%1.4%2026-09-20 16:29
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-09-20 16:14
Smarkets◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.02%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64%1.9%2026-09-20 16:20