Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Club Brugge v Genk

2026-09-20 16:30 UTC — Belgium First Div

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Club Brugge (Local)

Prévision 62.43%1.60cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -3.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.80%62.40%62.48%64.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.491.501.5772.46%67.09%66.67%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Genk (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.32%5.77cote équitable
EV +9.14%
Avantage +1.45%
Kelly +1.72%
Croissance +0.158%

avec la cote maximale 6.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.88%17.23%17.38%18.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.245.206.3021.74%19.08%19.23%15.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.24%4.94cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.292%
Kelly -0.367%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.46%20.37%20.14%21.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.464.404.8724.39%22.42%22.73%20.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Club Brugge (Local) : 62.43% ; Genk (Visiteur) : 17.32% ; Match nul : 20.24%. Pour Genk (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.77. 3 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 6.30, pour une espérance positive de +9.14%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -7.60%E -5.13%K -15.83%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.88%EV +9.14%E +1.45%K +1.72%G +0.158%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -12.96%E -3.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 19:10
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -7.60%E -5.13%K -15.83%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.88%EV +9.14%E +1.45%K +1.72%G +0.158%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -12.96%E -3.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 19:10
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.79%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.56%EV +0.130%E +0.022%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.65%EV -1.42%E -0.292%K -0.367%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 19:16
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -7.60%E -5.13%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -0.390%E -0.068%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -4.86%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.89%EV -8.22%E -5.59%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -0.390%E -0.068%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -3.85%E -0.811%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 17:45
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.50%EV -6.97%E -4.68%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.75%EV -2.12%E -0.376%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.75%EV -3.04%E -0.635%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.87%EV -8.85%E -6.06%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.50%EV -2.12%E -0.376%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -3.85%E -0.811%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:10
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -3.85%E -0.811%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -8.22%E -5.59%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -2.84%E -0.591%K -0.747%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -8.22%E -5.59%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -6.89%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:50
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.09%E -7.01%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -12.59%E -8.99%K -31.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -6.89%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -12.59%E -8.99%K -31.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -4.72%E -0.858%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.27%EV -1.98%E -1.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -6.45%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.91%EV -6.89%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:11
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.27%EV -1.98%E -1.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -6.45%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.91%EV -6.89%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:10
Suprabets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.66%EV -7.60%E -5.13%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -6.45%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -6.89%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.73%EV -13.84%E -10.03%K -36.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -6.45%E -1.20%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.99%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-13 17:45
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV -2.84%E -0.591%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 17:50
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.98%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -3.85%E -0.811%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 17:50
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.99%EV -3.23%E -2.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -6.89%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -9.05%E -1.72%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -9.92%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 17:50
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 17:11
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 17:11
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 17:10
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -3.85%E -2.50%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.65%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.91%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 19:10
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 17:50
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.94%E -2.49%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 17:50
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -12.59%E -8.99%K -31.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -13.38%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-13 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.37%EV -10.72%E -7.50%K -24.93%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.73%EV -14.25%E -2.88%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.90%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 17:50
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -5.10%E -3.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -15.12%E -3.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.12%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -15.12%E -3.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -13.97%E -3.29%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 17:11
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.96%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -15.12%E -3.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 17:11
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.96%EV -5.72%E -3.79%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -15.12%E -3.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 17:11
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.85%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 17:11
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.85%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 17:11
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.35%E -4.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.85%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.73%EV -10.72%E -7.50%K -24.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.09%EV -16.85%E -3.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.18%EV -17.01%E -4.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-13 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.93%EV -10.09%E -7.01%K -22.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.67%EV -18.58%E -3.95%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -12.96%E -3.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.56%EV -10.72%E -7.50%K -24.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.83%EV -20.31%E -4.42%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-13 17:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%13.8%2026-09-13 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-13 16:55