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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Club Brugge v Genk

Início: 2026-09-20 16:30 UTC

Final: Club Brugge 3–0 Genk

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Club Brugge (Local)

Previsão 63.01%1.59odd justa
EV -2.96%
Vantagem -1.92%
Kelly -5.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.74%62.91%62.95%64.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.381.471.471.5472.46%67.97%68.03%64.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Genk (Visitante)

Previsão 16.83%5.94odd justa
EV +2.97%
Vantagem +0.486%
Kelly +0.580%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.77%16.86%16.96%18.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.475.506.1220.00%18.29%18.18%16.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.16%4.96odd justa
EV -1.19%
Vantagem -0.244%
Kelly -0.306%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.22%20.23%20.09%21.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.564.504.9023.81%21.95%22.22%20.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Club Brugge (Local): 63.01%; Genk (Visitante): 16.83%; Empate: 20.16%. Para Genk (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.94. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.12, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.97%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.36%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.77%EV +2.97%E +0.486%K +0.580%G +0.017%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.86%EV -2.00%E -0.412%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 16:20
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.24%EV -2.96%E -1.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.87%EV +1.63%E +0.269%K +0.322%G +0.005%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.89%EV -11.68%E -2.67%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 16:24
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.91%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.53%EV -2.41%E -0.416%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.56%EV -1.19%E -0.244%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 16:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.91%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.53%EV -2.41%E -0.416%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.56%EV -1.19%E -0.244%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 16:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.91%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.53%EV -2.41%E -0.416%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.56%EV -1.19%E -0.244%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 16:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -2.41%E -0.416%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.21%E -0.669%K -0.845%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:09
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -2.41%E -0.416%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -13.29%E -3.09%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:09
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -2.41%E -0.416%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -13.29%E -3.09%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:09
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 16:24
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.29%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -6.74%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 16:15
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.89%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 16:15
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -11.28%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 16:29
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 16:27
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -3.25%E -0.566%K -0.685%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 16:27
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.30%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.47%EV -4.94%E -0.874%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 16:24
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -6.11%E -4.10%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -5.78%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 16:29
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.78%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.78%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.78%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:29
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.78%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:29
Suprabets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.37%EV -8.01%E -5.48%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.52%EV -5.78%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 16:15
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -3.59%E -2.35%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -7.46%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:09
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -3.59%E -2.35%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -7.46%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -6.74%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -7.46%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -7.37%E -5.02%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.46%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.22%E -0.888%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 16:14
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.46%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:14
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -7.46%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -11.28%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.14%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.14%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:24
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -9.14%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:24
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.43%EV -13.05%E -9.45%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.21%EV -9.14%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.36%EV -13.29%E -3.09%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-20 16:19
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.83%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -10.83%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 16:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.83%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -10.83%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 16:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.84%EV -10.83%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -3.59%E -2.35%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -7.24%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 16:09
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 16:29
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 16:21
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.74%E -4.56%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -15.31%E -3.65%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -11.28%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 16:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -11.28%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 16:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -11.28%E -2.56%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 16:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.91%EV -10.53%E -7.41%K -25.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.02%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -10.27%E -2.31%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 16:14
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.89%EV -11.79%E -8.42%K -29.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.77%EV -11.67%E -2.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -12.69%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-20 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -4.22%E -2.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -12.51%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 16:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.90%EV -9.90%E -6.92%K -23.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.02%EV -12.51%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -15.31%E -3.65%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-20 16:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.78%EV -8.64%E -5.96%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -14.19%E -2.78%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:14
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -15.87%E -3.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -12.69%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:09
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -15.87%E -3.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -12.69%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -15.87%E -3.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -12.69%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -5.48%E -3.66%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -15.87%E -3.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -12.69%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 16:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -15.87%E -3.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -5.23%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 16:13
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.27%E -6.43%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.87%E -3.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.26%E -2.06%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 16:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-09-20 16:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.0%2026-09-20 16:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.12%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%1.0%2026-09-20 16:30
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.73%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%1.4%2026-09-20 16:29
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-09-20 16:14
Smarkets◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.02%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64%1.9%2026-09-20 16:20