Language:English
Charleroi v Standard Liege
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Charleroi (Local)
Prediction 46.22%2.16fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.733%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.25%46.44%46.20%50.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.961.952.1355.56%50.95%51.28%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Standard Liege (Visit)
Prediction 25.72%3.89fair odd
EV +8.04%
Edge +1.92%
Kelly +2.51%
Growth +0.202%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.92%25.56%25.74%26.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.723.654.2031.25%26.88%27.40%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.06%3.56fair odd
EV +1.02%
Edge +0.282%
Kelly +0.390%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.69%28.00%28.05%29.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.323.303.6034.72%30.13%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charleroi (Local): 46.22%; Standard Liege (Visit): 25.72%; Draw: 28.06%. For Standard Liege (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -10.80%E -5.60%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03%EV +8.04%E +1.92%K +2.51%G +0.202% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV +1.02%E +0.282%K +0.390%G +0.004% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -10.80%E -5.60%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03%EV +8.04%E +1.92%K +2.51%G +0.202% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV +1.02%E +0.282%K +0.390%G +0.004% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.98%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV +5.47%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.097% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.98%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV +5.47%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.097% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -13.11%E -6.98%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV +5.47%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.097% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 16:18 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -13.11%E -6.98%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV +5.47%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.097% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -13.11%E -6.98%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV +5.47%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.097% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 16:17 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -13.58%E -7.26%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV +2.90%E +0.725%K +0.966%G +0.028% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 16:16 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.90%EV -14.04%E -7.55%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV +2.90%E +0.725%K +0.966%G +0.028% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -3.19%E -0.926%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -14.50%E -7.84%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV +2.90%E +0.725%K +0.966%G +0.028% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -3.19%E -0.926%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -15.43%E -8.43%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV +2.90%E +0.725%K +0.966%G +0.028% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 16:18 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -15.89%E -8.73%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV +1.61%E +0.408%K +0.546%G +0.009% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.70%EV -4.33%E -2.09%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.53%EV +1.35%E +0.344%K +0.461%G +0.006% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -5.72%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -10.80%E -5.60%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV +0.326%E +0.084%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 16:18 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.03%EV -16.81%E -9.34%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV +0.326%E +0.084%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 16:17 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.03%EV -16.81%E -9.34%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV +0.326%E +0.084%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 16:17 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -3.53%E -0.942%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.54%EV -1.56%E -0.733%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.01%EV -4.05%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.45%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.61%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 16:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -9.88%E -5.07%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -3.19%E -0.926%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 16:17 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -6.11%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -6.11%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 16:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -6.11%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 16:16 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 16:18 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 16:17 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 16:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 16:17 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -6.18%E -3.05%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.73%E -6.14%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -2.95%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -8.68%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.88%E -5.07%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 16:16 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.73%E -6.14%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.51%EV -10.34%E -5.33%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -8.49%E -4.29%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.54%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.15%EV -14.04%E -7.55%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%EV -12.54%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.61%EV -15.82%E -5.27%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.88%E -5.07%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -15.11%E -4.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.63%EV -11.27%E -5.87%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -15.11%E -4.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.82%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -11.73%E -6.14%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -17.68%E -5.53%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -19.19%E -6.66%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-04-18 16:17 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.05% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.05% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.99% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |