La escuela de los momiosCharleroi v Standard Liege
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Charleroi (Local)
Predicción 46.22%2.16momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -0.733%
Kelly -1.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.25%46.44%46.20%50.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.961.952.1355.56%50.95%51.28%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Standard Liege (Visitante)
Predicción 25.72%3.89momio equitativo
EV +8.04%
Ventaja +1.92%
Kelly +2.51%
Crecimiento +0.202%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.92%25.56%25.74%26.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.723.654.2031.25%26.88%27.40%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.06%3.56momio equitativo
EV +1.02%
Ventaja +0.282%
Kelly +0.390%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.69%28.00%28.05%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.323.303.6034.72%30.13%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -10.80%E -5.60%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03%EV +8.04%E +1.92%K +2.51%G +0.202% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV +1.02%E +0.282%K +0.390%G +0.004% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -10.80%E -5.60%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03%EV +8.04%E +1.92%K +2.51%G +0.202% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV +1.02%E +0.282%K +0.390%G +0.004% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.98%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV +5.47%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.097% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.98%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV +5.47%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.097% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -13.11%E -6.98%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV +5.47%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.097% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 16:18 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -13.11%E -6.98%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV +5.47%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.097% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -13.11%E -6.98%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV +5.47%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.097% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 16:17 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -13.58%E -7.26%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV +2.90%E +0.725%K +0.966%G +0.028% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 16:16 |
| Unibet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.90%EV -14.04%E -7.55%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV +2.90%E +0.725%K +0.966%G +0.028% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -3.19%E -0.926%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -14.50%E -7.84%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV +2.90%E +0.725%K +0.966%G +0.028% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -3.19%E -0.926%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -15.43%E -8.43%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV +2.90%E +0.725%K +0.966%G +0.028% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 16:18 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -15.89%E -8.73%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV +1.61%E +0.408%K +0.546%G +0.009% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.70%EV -4.33%E -2.09%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.53%EV +1.35%E +0.344%K +0.461%G +0.006% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -5.72%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -10.80%E -5.60%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV +0.326%E +0.084%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 16:18 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.03%EV -16.81%E -9.34%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV +0.326%E +0.084%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 16:17 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.03%EV -16.81%E -9.34%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV +0.326%E +0.084%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 16:17 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -3.53%E -0.942%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| 1xBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.54%EV -1.56%E -0.733%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.01%EV -4.05%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.45%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.61%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 16:13 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -9.88%E -5.07%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -3.19%E -0.926%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 16:17 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -6.11%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -6.11%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 16:18 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -6.11%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 16:16 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 16:18 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 16:17 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 16:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 16:17 |
| Coolbet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -6.18%E -3.05%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.73%E -6.14%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| Suprabets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -2.95%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -8.68%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.88%E -5.07%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 16:16 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.73%E -6.14%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.51%EV -10.34%E -5.33%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -8.49%E -4.29%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.54%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.15%EV -14.04%E -7.55%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%EV -12.54%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.61%EV -15.82%E -5.27%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.88%E -5.07%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -15.11%E -4.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-18 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.63%EV -11.27%E -5.87%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -15.11%E -4.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.82%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -11.73%E -6.14%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -17.68%E -5.53%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -19.19%E -6.66%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-04-18 16:17 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.05% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.05% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.99% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |