La scuola delle quote

Charleroi v Standard Liege

Inizio: 2026-04-18 16:21 UTC

Finale: Charleroi 1–2 Standard Liege

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Charleroi (Casa)

Previsione 46.22%2.16quota equa
EV -1.56%
Vantaggio -0.733%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.25%46.44%46.20%50.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.961.952.1355.56%50.95%51.28%46.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Standard Liege (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.72%3.89quota equa
EV +8.04%
Vantaggio +1.92%
Kelly +2.51%
Crescita +0.202%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.92%25.56%25.74%26.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.723.654.2031.25%26.88%27.40%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.06%3.56quota equa
EV +1.02%
Vantaggio +0.282%
Kelly +0.390%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.69%28.00%28.05%29.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.323.303.6034.72%30.13%30.30%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -10.80%E -5.60%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03%EV +8.04%E +1.92%K +2.51%G +0.202%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV +1.02%E +0.282%K +0.390%G +0.004%3.4%2026-04-18 16:19
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -10.80%E -5.60%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03%EV +8.04%E +1.92%K +2.51%G +0.202%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV +1.02%E +0.282%K +0.390%G +0.004%3.4%2026-04-18 16:19
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.98%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV +5.47%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.097%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 16:19
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.98%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV +5.47%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.097%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 16:19
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -13.11%E -6.98%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV +5.47%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.097%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 16:18
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -13.11%E -6.98%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV +5.47%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.097%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 16:19
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -13.11%E -6.98%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV +5.47%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.097%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 16:17
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -13.58%E -7.26%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV +2.90%E +0.725%K +0.966%G +0.028%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 16:16
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.90%EV -14.04%E -7.55%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV +2.90%E +0.725%K +0.966%G +0.028%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -3.19%E -0.926%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 16:19
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -14.50%E -7.84%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV +2.90%E +0.725%K +0.966%G +0.028%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -3.19%E -0.926%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -15.43%E -8.43%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV +2.90%E +0.725%K +0.966%G +0.028%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:18
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -15.89%E -8.73%K -19.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV +1.61%E +0.408%K +0.546%G +0.009%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 16:19
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.70%EV -4.33%E -2.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.53%EV +1.35%E +0.344%K +0.461%G +0.006%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -5.72%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 16:14
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -10.80%E -5.60%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV +0.326%E +0.084%K +0.112%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 16:18
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.03%EV -16.81%E -9.34%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV +0.326%E +0.084%K +0.112%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 16:17
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.03%EV -16.81%E -9.34%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV +0.326%E +0.084%K +0.112%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 16:17
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -3.53%E -0.942%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 16:14
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.54%EV -1.56%E -0.733%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.01%EV -4.05%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.45%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 16:14
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:15
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:14
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.61%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 16:13
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -9.88%E -5.07%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -3.19%E -0.926%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 16:17
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -6.11%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 16:19
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -6.11%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 16:18
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -6.11%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 16:16
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 16:18
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 16:17
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:14
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 16:15
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 16:20
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 16:14
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 16:17
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -6.18%E -3.05%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 16:14
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 16:14
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.73%E -6.14%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-18 16:19
Suprabets2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -2.95%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -8.68%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 16:20
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 16:14
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 16:20
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.88%E -5.07%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 16:20
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 16:16
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.73%E -6.14%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 16:19
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.51%EV -10.34%E -5.33%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 16:14
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -8.49%E -4.29%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.54%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 16:19
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 46.15%EV -14.04%E -7.55%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%EV -12.54%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.61%EV -15.82%E -5.27%K -7.91%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-18 16:19
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.88%E -5.07%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -15.11%E -4.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.63%EV -11.27%E -5.87%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -15.11%E -4.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.82%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-18 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -11.73%E -6.14%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -17.68%E -5.53%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -19.19%E -6.66%K -10.21%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-18 16:17
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%2.0%2026-04-18 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%2.0%2026-04-18 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%2.0%2026-04-18 16:20
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%4.2%2026-04-18 16:20
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 47.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%4.2%2026-04-18 16:20
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.99%10.0%2026-04-18 16:20