L’École des cotes

Charleroi v Standard Liege

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 16:21 UTC

Score final : Charleroi 1–2 Standard Liege

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Charleroi (Local)

Prévision 46.22%2.16cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -0.733%
Kelly -1.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.25%46.44%46.20%50.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.961.952.1355.56%50.95%51.28%46.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Standard Liege (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.72%3.89cote équitable
EV +8.04%
Avantage +1.92%
Kelly +2.51%
Croissance +0.202%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.92%25.56%25.74%26.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.723.654.2031.25%26.88%27.40%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.06%3.56cote équitable
EV +1.02%
Avantage +0.282%
Kelly +0.390%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.69%28.00%28.05%29.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.323.303.6034.72%30.13%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -10.80%E -5.60%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03%EV +8.04%E +1.92%K +2.51%G +0.202%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV +1.02%E +0.282%K +0.390%G +0.004%3.4%2026-04-18 16:19
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.11%EV -10.80%E -5.60%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03%EV +8.04%E +1.92%K +2.51%G +0.202%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV +1.02%E +0.282%K +0.390%G +0.004%3.4%2026-04-18 16:19
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.98%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV +5.47%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.097%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 16:19
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.98%EV -12.65%E -6.69%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV +5.47%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.097%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 16:19
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -13.11%E -6.98%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV +5.47%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.097%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 16:18
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -13.11%E -6.98%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV +5.47%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.097%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 16:19
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -13.11%E -6.98%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV +5.47%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.097%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 16:17
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -13.58%E -7.26%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV +2.90%E +0.725%K +0.966%G +0.028%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -1.79%E -0.512%K -0.716%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 16:16
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.90%EV -14.04%E -7.55%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV +2.90%E +0.725%K +0.966%G +0.028%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -3.19%E -0.926%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 16:19
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -14.50%E -7.84%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV +2.90%E +0.725%K +0.966%G +0.028%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -3.19%E -0.926%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -15.43%E -8.43%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV +2.90%E +0.725%K +0.966%G +0.028%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:18
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -15.89%E -8.73%K -19.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV +1.61%E +0.408%K +0.546%G +0.009%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 16:19
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.70%EV -4.33%E -2.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.53%EV +1.35%E +0.344%K +0.461%G +0.006%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -5.72%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 16:14
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -10.80%E -5.60%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV +0.326%E +0.084%K +0.112%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 16:18
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.03%EV -16.81%E -9.34%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV +0.326%E +0.084%K +0.112%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 16:17
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.03%EV -16.81%E -9.34%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV +0.326%E +0.084%K +0.112%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 16:17
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -3.53%E -0.942%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 16:14
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.54%EV -1.56%E -0.733%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.01%EV -4.05%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.45%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 16:14
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:15
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.87%E -1.86%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:14
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.61%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 16:13
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -9.88%E -5.07%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -3.19%E -0.926%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 16:17
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -6.11%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 16:19
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -6.11%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 16:18
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -6.11%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 16:16
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 16:18
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 16:17
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:14
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 16:15
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 16:20
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 16:14
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 16:17
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -6.18%E -3.05%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 16:14
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 16:14
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -11.73%E -6.14%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-18 16:19
Suprabets2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -2.95%E -1.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -8.68%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 16:20
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 16:14
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.57%E -3.78%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 16:20
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.88%E -5.07%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 16:20
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -6.64%E -3.29%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 16:16
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.73%E -6.14%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 16:19
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.51%EV -10.34%E -5.33%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 16:14
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -8.49%E -4.29%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.54%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 16:19
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 46.15%EV -14.04%E -7.55%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%EV -12.54%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.61%EV -15.82%E -5.27%K -7.91%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-18 16:19
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.88%E -5.07%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -15.11%E -4.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.63%EV -11.27%E -5.87%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -15.11%E -4.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.82%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-18 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -11.73%E -6.14%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -17.68%E -5.53%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -19.19%E -6.66%K -10.21%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-18 16:17
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%2.0%2026-04-18 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%2.0%2026-04-18 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%2.0%2026-04-18 16:20
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%4.2%2026-04-18 16:20
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 47.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%4.2%2026-04-18 16:20
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.99%10.0%2026-04-18 16:20