Language:English
WSG Tirol v Sturm Graz
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
WSG Tirol (Local)
Prediction 22.04%4.54fair odd
EV +2.49%
Edge +0.535%
Kelly +0.682%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 4.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.33%22.16%21.95%24.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.034.004.6528.17%24.84%25.00%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sturm Graz (Visit)
Prediction 52.19%1.92fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -4.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.14%52.09%52.18%54.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.781.801.8559.52%56.10%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.77%3.88fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.549%
Kelly -0.745%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.82%25.75%25.87%27.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.593.603.8030.30%27.89%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: WSG Tirol (Local): 22.04%; Sturm Graz (Visit): 52.19%; Draw: 25.77%. For WSG Tirol (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.54. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.60%EV +2.49%E +0.535%K +0.682%G +0.017% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.93%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.47%EV -6.72%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.73%EV +2.05%E +0.442%K +0.564%G +0.012% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.33%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV +1.39%E +0.301%K +0.385%G +0.005% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -10.23%E -5.95%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -0.818%E -0.182%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -3.02%E -0.687%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -2.09%E -0.549%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -3.02%E -0.687%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -2.09%E -0.549%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -4.12%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -9.18%E -5.28%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 26.80%EV -12.65%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -5.23%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 14:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.23%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.33%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.33%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.33%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-01 14:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.83%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -3.37%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 14:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 14:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -11.27%E -6.63%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -11.10%E -3.22%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.97%EV -11.79%E -6.98%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -14.97%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.84%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -9.18%E -5.28%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -11.84%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.97%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-01 14:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -11.84%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -12.32%E -7.33%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -12.94%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.41%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -12.94%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.08%EV -10.23%E -5.95%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -15.14%E -3.93%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -3.37%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 14:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -17.35%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-01 14:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -17.35%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-01 14:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.14%EV -3.97%E -2.16%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -19.55%E -5.36%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -19.55%E -5.36%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -19.55%E -5.36%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.82%EV -21.76%E -6.13%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.82%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.28% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.28% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.