Idioma:Español
WSG Tirol v Sturm Graz
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
WSG Tirol (Local)
Predicción 22.04%4.54momio equitativo
EV +2.49%
Ventaja +0.535%
Kelly +0.682%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.33%22.16%21.95%24.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.554.034.004.6528.17%24.84%25.00%21.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sturm Graz (Visitante)
Predicción 52.19%1.92momio equitativo
EV -3.44%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -4.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.14%52.09%52.18%54.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.781.801.8559.52%56.10%55.56%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.77%3.88momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.549%
Kelly -0.745%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.82%25.75%25.87%27.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.593.603.8030.30%27.89%27.78%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: WSG Tirol (Local): 22.04%; Sturm Graz (Visitante): 52.19%; Empate: 25.77%. Para WSG Tirol (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.54. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.65, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.49%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.60%EV +2.49%E +0.535%K +0.682%G +0.017% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.93%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.47%EV -6.72%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.73%EV +2.05%E +0.442%K +0.564%G +0.012% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.33%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV +1.39%E +0.301%K +0.385%G +0.005% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -10.23%E -5.95%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -0.818%E -0.182%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -3.02%E -0.687%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -2.09%E -0.549%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -3.02%E -0.687%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -2.09%E -0.549%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -4.12%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -9.18%E -5.28%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 26.80%EV -12.65%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -5.23%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 14:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.23%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.33%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.33%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.33%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-01 14:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.83%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -3.37%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 14:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 14:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -11.27%E -6.63%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -11.10%E -3.22%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.97%EV -11.79%E -6.98%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -14.97%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.84%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -9.18%E -5.28%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -11.84%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.97%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-01 14:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -11.84%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -12.32%E -7.33%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -12.94%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.41%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -12.94%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.08%EV -10.23%E -5.95%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -15.14%E -3.93%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -3.37%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 14:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -17.35%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-01 14:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -17.35%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-01 14:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.14%EV -3.97%E -2.16%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -19.55%E -5.36%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -19.55%E -5.36%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -19.55%E -5.36%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.82%EV -21.76%E -6.13%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.82%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.28% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.28% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |