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WSG Tirol v Sturm Graz
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
WSG Tirol (Хозяева)
Прогноз 22.04%4.54справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.49%
Преимущество +0.535%
Kelly +0.682%
Рост +0.017%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.65
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.33%22.16%21.95%24.93%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.554.034.004.6528.17%24.84%25.00%21.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Sturm Graz (Гости)
Прогноз 52.19%1.92справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.44%
Преимущество -1.86%
Kelly -4.05%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.85
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
50.14%52.09%52.18%54.38%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.681.781.801.8559.52%56.10%55.56%54.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 25.77%3.88справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.09%
Преимущество -0.549%
Kelly -0.745%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.82%25.75%25.87%27.04%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.593.603.8030.30%27.89%27.78%26.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: WSG Tirol (Хозяева): 22.04%; Sturm Graz (Гости): 52.19%; Ничья: 25.77%. Для исхода «WSG Tirol (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.54. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.65, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.49%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.60%EV +2.49%E +0.535%K +0.682%G +0.017% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.93%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.47%EV -6.72%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.73%EV +2.05%E +0.442%K +0.564%G +0.012% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.33%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV +1.39%E +0.301%K +0.385%G +0.005% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -10.23%E -5.95%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -0.818%E -0.182%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -3.02%E -0.687%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -2.09%E -0.549%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -3.02%E -0.687%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -2.09%E -0.549%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -4.12%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -9.18%E -5.28%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 26.80%EV -12.65%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -5.23%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 14:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.23%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.33%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.33%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.33%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-01 14:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.83%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -3.37%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 14:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 14:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -11.27%E -6.63%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -11.10%E -3.22%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.97%EV -11.79%E -6.98%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -14.97%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.84%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -9.18%E -5.28%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -11.84%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.97%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-01 14:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -11.84%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -12.32%E -7.33%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -12.94%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.41%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -12.94%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.08%EV -10.23%E -5.95%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -15.14%E -3.93%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -3.37%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 14:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -17.35%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-01 14:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -17.35%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-01 14:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.14%EV -3.97%E -2.16%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -19.55%E -5.36%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -19.55%E -5.36%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -19.55%E -5.36%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.82%EV -21.76%E -6.13%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.82%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.28% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.28% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 14:55 |