Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

WSG Tirol v Sturm Graz

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-01 15:00 UTC

Score final : WSG Tirol 1–1 Sturm Graz

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

WSG Tirol (Local)

Prévision 22.04%4.54cote équitable
EV +2.49%
Avantage +0.535%
Kelly +0.682%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 4.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.33%22.16%21.95%24.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.554.034.004.6528.17%24.84%25.00%21.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sturm Graz (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.19%1.92cote équitable
EV -3.44%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -4.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.14%52.09%52.18%54.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.781.801.8559.52%56.10%55.56%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.77%3.88cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -0.549%
Kelly -0.745%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.82%25.75%25.87%27.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.593.603.8030.30%27.89%27.78%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : WSG Tirol (Local) : 22.04% ; Sturm Graz (Visiteur) : 52.19% ; Match nul : 25.77%. Pour WSG Tirol (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.54. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.65, soit une espérance positive de +2.49%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.60%EV +2.49%E +0.535%K +0.682%G +0.017%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.93%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.47%EV -6.72%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 14:55
1xBet🎯4.63I 21.60%NM 20.73%EV +2.05%E +0.442%K +0.564%G +0.012%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.33%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 14:54
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV +1.39%E +0.301%K +0.385%G +0.005%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -10.23%E -5.95%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 14:45
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -0.818%E -0.182%K -0.234%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -3.02%E -0.687%K -0.889%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -2.09%E -0.549%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -3.02%E -0.687%K -0.889%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -2.09%E -0.549%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -4.12%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 14:50
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 14:55
Suprabets🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -9.18%E -5.28%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 26.80%EV -12.65%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-01 14:54
DraftKings🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -5.23%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 14:44
Bovada🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.23%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 14:55
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.33%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 14:50
NordicBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.33%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 14:54
Betsson🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -6.33%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 14:54
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 14:44
Betr (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.83%EV -5.01%E -2.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -3.37%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 14:44
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 14:34
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 14:55
Codere (IT)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-01 14:49
PlayUp🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -7.62%E -4.30%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.43%EV -11.27%E -6.63%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -11.10%E -3.22%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 14:49
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 51.97%EV -11.79%E -6.98%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -14.97%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.84%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -9.18%E -5.28%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 14:50
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -11.84%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.97%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-01 14:44
Unibet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -11.84%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -12.32%E -7.33%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 14:49
Bet Right🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -12.94%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.41%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 14:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -12.94%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.08%EV -10.23%E -5.95%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 14:54
William Hill🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-01 14:35
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-01 14:35
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-01 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.04%E -3.60%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-01 14:35
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -15.14%E -3.93%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -3.37%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 14:35
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -17.35%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 14:34
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -17.35%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -9.71%E -5.61%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.82%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-01 14:39
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.14%EV -3.97%E -2.16%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 14:49
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 14:50
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 14:50
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 14:49
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 14:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -18.45%E -4.99%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.49%E -2.45%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.66%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 14:49
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -19.55%E -5.36%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 14:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -19.55%E -5.36%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -19.55%E -5.36%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.21%EV -5.53%E -3.06%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.82%EV -21.76%E -6.13%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.82%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-01 14:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-08-01 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-08-01 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-08-01 14:55
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-08-01 14:55
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.15%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.13%3.4%2026-08-01 14:55