L’École des cotes

WSG Tirol v Sturm Graz

2026-08-01 15:00 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

WSG Tirol (Local)

Prévision 25.32%3.95cote équitable
EV +1.26%
Avantage +0.316%
Kelly +0.422%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.40%25.39%25.32%27.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.563.604.0031.25%28.11%27.78%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sturm Graz (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.87%2.05cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.638%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.04%48.80%48.80%50.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.881.902.0257.47%53.17%52.63%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.82%3.87cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -0.850%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.13%25.80%25.88%26.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.513.503.7530.30%28.46%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV +1.26%E +0.316%K +0.422%G +0.005%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -9.60%E -5.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 19:20
Pinnacle3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV -1.27%E -0.325%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.29%EV -7.64%E -4.04%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.19%E -0.850%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 19:25
1xBet3.79I 26.39%NM 24.71%EV -4.05%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.56%EV -7.64%E -4.04%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.73%EV -6.03%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 02:44
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.15%E -3.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 15:50
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -6.33%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.71%E -2.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.33%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.15%E -3.76%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-23 05:54
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -6.33%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.77%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 02:44
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.33%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -8.62%E -4.61%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 05:52
DraftKings3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 13:05
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-23 06:04
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.13%E -4.32%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 15:15
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.13%E -4.32%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 06:20
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.22%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 02:39
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.22%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 02:39
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.22%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 02:39
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.22%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 02:39
Codere (IT)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.62%E -4.61%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 06:19
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 13:25
Suprabets3.57I 28.01%NM 24.82%EV -9.62%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.50%EV -12.53%E -7.00%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -10.93%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-18 19:23
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -11.39%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -4.71%E -2.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 20:05
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.39%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.57%E -5.78%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 15:03
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.39%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.16%EV -11.55%E -6.38%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-23 05:54
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -11.39%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.00%EV -12.53%E -7.00%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.95%EV -12.74%E -3.77%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-24 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.92%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.22%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 20:05
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.92%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.22%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 20:05
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.92%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.22%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.92%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -6.66%E -3.49%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.22%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 20:05
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -13.92%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -12.04%E -6.69%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -9.64%E -2.75%K -3.86%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-25 22:24
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -15.19%E -4.53%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -1.29%E -0.638%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 01:34
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -15.19%E -4.53%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -1.29%E -0.638%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 01:34
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10%EV -15.19%E -4.53%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.57%EV -12.04%E -6.69%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -10.93%E -3.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-24 06:15
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.09%EV -16.46%E -4.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.83%EV -12.04%E -6.69%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.09%EV -14.80%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-23 05:54
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.26%EV -18.99%E -5.93%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 48.29%EV -14.97%E -8.60%K -20.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.46%EV -14.80%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-24 06:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.99%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%5.4%2026-07-25 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.99%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%5.4%2026-07-25 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.99%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%5.4%2026-07-25 21:10
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%10.7%2026-07-25 21:40